{ "ticker": { "uuid": "884ba8d7-daed-4435-b5af-837d50f6b776", "symbol": "5314", "name": "Myson Century, Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.485, "architecture_energy": 33.934, "architecture_maturity": 69.931, "architecture_confidence": 91.181, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.32, "rotation_up": 26.28, "upward_expansion": 6.23, "deceleration": 54.37, "rotation_down": 44.4, "downward_expansion": 74.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.494635, 14.585759, 15.066708, 15.95019 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 16.200001, "trend_reference": 17.435077, "distance_from_trend": -0.070839, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.739454, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.508457, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.721332, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.232985, "excess_performance": -0.674357, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.070839, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160712, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.508457, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.189322, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.477213, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002913, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.232985, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.484676, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52402636, "relative_activity": 0.497932, "balance": 0.484676, "dry_up": 0.685421, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125811, "annualized_volatility": 0.608906, "from_high_reference": -0.543969, "from_low_reference": 0.426777 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.435077, "fair_value_reference": 10.739454, "structural_low": 11.354261, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.025823, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.002693, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.287641, "worst_return": -0.187921, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.008106, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.054085, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 2.577197, "worst_return": -0.233083, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.226384, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.126979, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 3.288901, "worst_return": -0.204325, "sufficient": 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"direction": -75.319114, "energy": 52.027486, "activity_lines": [ 13.872085, 14.265431, 15.210724, 16.275528 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.433383, "volume": 59908332, "typical_volume": 107971511.45, "trend": 17.686508, "fair_value": 10.637704, "relative_strength": -52.320612, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.174066, "energy": 46.134902, "activity_lines": [ 13.79671, 14.258433, 15.047489, 16.046094 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 16.200001, "volume": 52402636, "typical_volume": 105240509.0, "trend": 17.435077, "fair_value": 10.739454, "relative_strength": -47.721332, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.485121, "energy": 33.933784, "activity_lines": [ 14.494635, 14.585759, 15.066708, 15.95019 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }