{ "ticker": { "uuid": "88575f9c-30aa-4cfc-a178-82b9a9844a24", "symbol": "OKJ", "name": "OKJ_PLUK PHAK PRAW RAK MAE", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 86.031, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.765, "architecture_energy": 25.057, "architecture_maturity": 26.874, "architecture_confidence": 64.859, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.36, "rotation_up": 16.94, "upward_expansion": 19.37, "deceleration": 57.06, "rotation_down": 52.31, "downward_expansion": 60.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.510667, 3.607273, 3.535714, 3.547755 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.36, "trend_reference": 3.634266, "distance_from_trend": -0.075467, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.969956, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.517931, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.754494, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.197768, "excess_performance": -0.390094, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.075467, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03589, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.517931, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055474, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.317545, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.130087, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.197768, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.663732, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3702400, "relative_activity": 0.865609, "balance": 0.663732, "dry_up": 1.039057, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083791, "annualized_volatility": 0.476584, "from_high_reference": -0.497426, "from_low_reference": 0.174825 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.634266, "fair_value_reference": 6.969956, "structural_low": 2.86, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.011299, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.054419, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.011299, "worst_return": 0.011299, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"relative_strength": -31.262876, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.159633, "energy": 17.34503, "activity_lines": [ 3.690667, 3.688727, 3.55181, 3.580679 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.46, "volume": 2131300, "typical_volume": 4228345.0, "trend": 3.656633, "fair_value": 7.00756, "relative_strength": -31.555775, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.955848, "energy": 6.944772, "activity_lines": [ 3.614667, 3.661455, 3.548, 3.566892 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.36, "volume": 3702400, "typical_volume": 4277220.0, "trend": 3.634266, "fair_value": 6.969956, "relative_strength": -31.754494, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.765193, "energy": 25.057022, "activity_lines": [ 3.510667, 3.607273, 3.535714, 3.547755 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }