{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "885aa11c-4d2a-4869-a328-fdb1da23fd8f",
    "symbol": "NF4",
    "name": "Netfonds AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 99.631,
    "architecture_energy": 79.722,
    "architecture_maturity": 96.761,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.278,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 2.25,
        "rotation_up": 77.51,
        "upward_expansion": 90.0,
        "deceleration": 62.99,
        "rotation_down": 22.28,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        82.666667,
        81.327273,
        80.221429,
        77.129677
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 86.5,
    "trend_reference": 70.173333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.232662,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 47.825984,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.80864,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 34.887789,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.913717,
    "excess_performance": 0.849077,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.232662,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.211975,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.80864,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041649,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.348878,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.1958,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.913717,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.836667,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 331,
      "relative_activity": 0.089499,
      "balance": 1.836667,
      "dry_up": 0.035624,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013784,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.691853,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005747,
      "from_low_reference": 1.109756
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 70.173333,
      "fair_value_reference": 47.825984,
      "structural_low": 43.200001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.478261,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.478261,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015357,
        "regime_survival": 0.73913,
        "best_return": 0.153017,
        "worst_return": -0.140187,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.004673,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.05501,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.164773,
        "worst_return": -0.14902,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.161399,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.059513,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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          78.8,
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          63.810476,
          58.24129
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 79.5,
        "volume": 3881,
        "typical_volume": 17862.6,
        "trend": 53.536667,
        "fair_value": 44.164993,
        "relative_strength": 58.895723,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.976682,
        "energy": 69.758326,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 17599.25,
        "trend": 54.573333,
        "fair_value": 44.425797,
        "relative_strength": 54.467794,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 17420.0,
        "trend": 55.63,
        "fair_value": 44.682833,
        "relative_strength": 54.820563,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 66.466887,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 17302.8,
        "trend": 56.756667,
        "fair_value": 44.936664,
        "relative_strength": 46.260322,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 20,
        "typical_volume": 17044.85,
        "trend": 57.9,
        "fair_value": 45.189932,
        "relative_strength": 44.205684,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 16791.05,
        "trend": 59.123333,
        "fair_value": 45.444587,
        "relative_strength": 46.141763,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 59.696788,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 16647.15,
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        "fair_value": 45.695343,
        "relative_strength": 43.306832,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 46.210624,
        "relative_strength": 41.531517,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 89.814059,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.233333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 79.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 15673.05,
        "trend": 63.75,
        "fair_value": 46.471258,
        "relative_strength": 34.024772,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 79.5,
        "volume": 113,
        "typical_volume": 15417.45,
        "trend": 64.906667,
        "fair_value": 46.731892,
        "relative_strength": 36.251899,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.151869,
        "energy": 69.314439,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.433333,
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          73.144516
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 80.5,
        "volume": 166,
        "typical_volume": 15245.8,
        "trend": 66.136667,
        "fair_value": 46.995145,
        "relative_strength": 37.579623,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.172669,
        "energy": 73.778727,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.833333,
          79.463636,
          78.974286,
          74.150538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 81.0,
        "volume": 30,
        "typical_volume": 14893.05,
        "trend": 67.456667,
        "fair_value": 47.260339,
        "relative_strength": 35.388437,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.652584,
        "energy": 74.580214,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.266667,
          79.8,
          79.32619,
          75.109462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 81.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4055.7,
        "trend": 68.73,
        "fair_value": 47.524269,
        "relative_strength": 31.256757,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.192503,
        "energy": 73.669215,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.6,
          80.090909,
          79.519048,
          75.983226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 86.5,
        "volume": 331,
        "typical_volume": 3698.35,
        "trend": 70.173333,
        "fair_value": 47.825984,
        "relative_strength": 34.887789,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 99.630612,
        "energy": 79.721571,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.666667,
          81.327273,
          80.221429,
          77.129677
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}