{ "ticker": { "uuid": "885b93d4-0b9b-4bd7-8c92-ce2571b4ce2f", "symbol": "301009", "name": "Hangzhou Coco Healthcare Products Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.067, "architecture_energy": 45.605, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 65.103, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.53, "rotation_up": 27.3, "upward_expansion": 19.55, "deceleration": 66.99, "rotation_down": 43.11, "downward_expansion": 69.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.641333, 8.59181, 9.177523, 9.882469 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.93, "trend_reference": 10.875727, "distance_from_trend": -0.178905, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.956685, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.184972, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.34093, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.332586, "excess_performance": -0.339986, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.178905, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.122511, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.184972, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.200694, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.293409, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019651, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.332586, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.521148, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15892100, "relative_activity": 1.263769, "balance": 0.521148, "dry_up": 1.429304, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087088, "annualized_volatility": 0.325105, "from_high_reference": -0.518598, "from_low_reference": 0.136132 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.875727, "fair_value_reference": 10.956685, "structural_low": 7.86, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.006597, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": -0.002886, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.252044, "worst_return": -0.229717, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.107224, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.098151, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.413497, "worst_return": -0.30494, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.19368, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.081263, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.5582, "worst_return": -0.379468, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"energy": 67.125588, "activity_lines": [ 8.493665, 8.747362, 9.629644, 10.377663 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.95, "volume": 18613701, "typical_volume": 11918886.35, "trend": 11.130727, "fair_value": 10.999435, "relative_strength": -36.325078, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.913189, "energy": 68.348182, "activity_lines": [ 8.307333, 8.542408, 9.398397, 10.161272 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.88, "volume": 19678774, "typical_volume": 12326854.55, "trend": 11.000727, "fair_value": 10.981687, "relative_strength": -26.903035, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.508835, "energy": 58.648492, "activity_lines": [ 8.49, 8.550781, 9.277627, 10.016064 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.93, "volume": 15892100, "typical_volume": 12575159.05, "trend": 10.875727, "fair_value": 10.956685, "relative_strength": -29.34093, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.066985, "energy": 45.605385, "activity_lines": [ 8.641333, 8.59181, 9.177523, 9.882469 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }