{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8871329d-13b9-41d6-9778-05d32719aff3", "symbol": "301362", "name": "Up-shine Lighting Co., Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 3.462, "architecture_energy": 22.318, "architecture_maturity": 81.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.705, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.22, "rotation_up": 14.94, "upward_expansion": 42.04, "deceleration": 87.93, "rotation_down": 46.05, "downward_expansion": 36.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 125.718003, 144.65182, 148.978134, 134.058055 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 140.600006, "trend_reference": 109.985584, "distance_from_trend": 0.278349, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 42.55582, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.303896, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 86.222654, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 3.413481, "excess_performance": 3.406081, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.278349, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.66754, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.303896, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.340083, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.862227, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.391907, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 3.413481, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.709647, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29371690, "relative_activity": 1.443979, "balance": 0.709647, "dry_up": 1.332404, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.254732, "annualized_volatility": 1.470894, "from_high_reference": -0.440398, "from_low_reference": 4.060372 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 109.985584, "fair_value_reference": 42.55582, "structural_low": 38.231163, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.003613, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.00299, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.050819, "worst_return": -0.081772, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.009422, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.048551, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.031193, "worst_return": -0.012349, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 1.299664, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 1.217286, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.395868, "worst_return": 0.20346, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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134.058055 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }