{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8876f417-ee72-4a33-9f56-898d5946e110", "symbol": "SAMPANN", "name": "Sampann Utpadan India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.045, "architecture_energy": 30.693, "architecture_maturity": 43.84, "architecture_confidence": 90.017, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.56, "rotation_up": 21.31, "upward_expansion": 5.96, "deceleration": 44.2, "rotation_down": 46.86, "downward_expansion": 74.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.223333, 27.462545, 27.632809, 28.043849 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 27.52, "trend_reference": 28.907666, "distance_from_trend": -0.048003, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 28.402115, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.031058, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.796502, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.165808, "excess_performance": -0.122099, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.048003, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07126, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.031058, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046695, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.087965, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017927, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.165808, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.17398, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 67905, "relative_activity": 0.419646, "balance": 1.17398, "dry_up": 0.523938, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06946, "annualized_volatility": 0.375989, "from_high_reference": -0.366482, "from_low_reference": 0.158737 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.907666, "fair_value_reference": 28.402115, "structural_low": 23.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.012204, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.01144, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.620301, "worst_return": -0.224622, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.033838, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.008716, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.531496, "worst_return": -0.259179, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.140763, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.080904, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.166547, "worst_return": -0.241901, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.287204, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.077753, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.172864, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.133899, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.138489, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.325313, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.206737, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.154317, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.026388, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.043215, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 16.549999, "volume": 79917, "typical_volume": 273903.4, "trend": 15.635, "fair_value": 14.097115, "relative_strength": -7.17685, "stage": 2, 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"2026-07-17", "close": 26.950001, "volume": 117302, "typical_volume": 181393.75, "trend": 29.535333, "fair_value": 28.216218, "relative_strength": -10.322792, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.675994, "energy": 17.098377, "activity_lines": [ 27.724667, 27.567818, 27.871666, 28.456838 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.57, "volume": 77258, "typical_volume": 177362.5, "trend": 29.366333, "fair_value": 28.279808, "relative_strength": -5.876433, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.571861, "energy": 14.749301, "activity_lines": [ 27.678667, 27.603636, 27.821381, 28.330043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.559999, "volume": 76659, "typical_volume": 164973.9, "trend": 29.149666, "fair_value": 28.337885, "relative_strength": -11.454306, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.248818, "energy": 33.099931, "activity_lines": [ 27.258, 27.446727, 27.675143, 28.148989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.52, "volume": 67905, "typical_volume": 161814.95, "trend": 28.907666, "fair_value": 28.402115, "relative_strength": -8.796502, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.045105, "energy": 30.692528, "activity_lines": [ 27.223333, 27.462545, 27.632809, 28.043849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }