{ "ticker": { "uuid": "888dbd1e-a9f6-46a1-a075-42380ece281d", "symbol": "AMARIN", "name": "Amarin Corporations Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.404, "architecture_energy": 87.657, "architecture_maturity": 20.923, "architecture_confidence": 88.456, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.86, "rotation_up": 10.29, "upward_expansion": 21.61, "deceleration": 37.16, "rotation_down": 81.6, "downward_expansion": 99.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.056, 2.159273, 2.42, 2.532301 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 2.04, "trend_reference": 2.587333, "distance_from_trend": -0.211543, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.060158, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.333368, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.174064, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.209302, "excess_performance": -0.401627, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.211543, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000258, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.333368, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.224075, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.251741, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.410944, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.209302, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.002103, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 143000, "relative_activity": 0.058539, "balance": 0.002103, "dry_up": 0.056134, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086727, "annualized_volatility": 0.287279, "from_high_reference": -0.413793, "from_low_reference": 0.259259 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.587333, "fair_value_reference": 3.060158, "structural_low": 1.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.014506, "positive_rate": 0.366667, "directional_follow_through": 0.633333, "median_excess_return": -0.025675, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.136364, "worst_return": -0.263636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.026178, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.026732, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.223529, "worst_return": -0.274194, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.049945, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.012493, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.588235, "worst_return": -0.351481, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.058536, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.547016, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.011765, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.029412, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.186047, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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"balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -7.945934, "energy": 21.481043, "activity_lines": [ 2.716, 2.797818, 2.838095, 2.764559 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 2.24, "volume": 11000, "typical_volume": 2451830.0, "trend": 2.648, "fair_value": 3.16223, "relative_strength": -14.48626, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -46.221802, "energy": 60.486028, "activity_lines": [ 2.541333, 2.685455, 2.782857, 2.738495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 2.2, "volume": 6500, "typical_volume": 2448565.0, "trend": 2.649333, "fair_value": 3.14455, "relative_strength": -19.524672, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -47.450008, "energy": 72.282122, "activity_lines": [ 2.394667, 2.578909, 2.725429, 2.709591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.22, "volume": 31400, "typical_volume": 2446230.0, "trend": 2.65, "fair_value": 3.127298, "relative_strength": -19.25425, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -48.905834, "energy": 76.803674, "activity_lines": [ 2.297333, 2.490545, 2.67181, 2.681892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.04, "volume": 332500, "typical_volume": 2448575.0, "trend": 2.633333, "fair_value": 3.110091, "relative_strength": -26.55275, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -57.00182, "energy": 83.0407, "activity_lines": [ 2.182667, 2.383636, 2.603333, 2.642538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.06, "volume": 63300, "typical_volume": 2451255.0, "trend": 2.616667, "fair_value": 3.093432, "relative_strength": -25.963849, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.175903, "energy": 90.345829, "activity_lines": [ 2.117333, 2.296364, 2.54, 2.605548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.04, "volume": 9700, "typical_volume": 2436205.0, "trend": 2.598667, "fair_value": 3.076225, "relative_strength": -25.750459, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.658002, "energy": 89.585369, "activity_lines": [ 2.08, 2.220364, 2.477905, 2.568344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.04, "volume": 143000, "typical_volume": 2442835.0, "trend": 2.587333, "fair_value": 3.060158, "relative_strength": -25.174064, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.403571, "energy": 87.656749, "activity_lines": [ 2.056, 2.159273, 2.42, 2.532301 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }