{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8892dd0c-76c2-4505-9379-1e6c6c276027", "symbol": "ENS", "name": "Enprise Group Limited", "exchange": "NZE", "country": "NZ", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NZ50", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.86, "architecture_energy": 90.144, "architecture_maturity": 49.414, "architecture_confidence": 84.275, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.62, "rotation_up": 8.02, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 82.56, "downward_expansion": 97.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.376333, 0.397455, 0.415833, 0.437989 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.375, "trend_reference": 0.4645, "distance_from_trend": -0.19268, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.583424, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.357243, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.665955, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.226804, "excess_performance": -0.255078, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.19268, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079308, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.357243, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017795, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.27666, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020016, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.226804, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.130642, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 645, "relative_activity": 0.388683, "balance": 0.130642, "dry_up": 0.724035, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.027692, "annualized_volatility": 0.39296, "from_high_reference": -0.482759, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.4645, "fair_value_reference": 0.583424, "structural_low": 0.375, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 45, "median_return": -0.04, "positive_rate": 0.244444, "directional_follow_through": 0.644444, "median_excess_return": -0.034924, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.263157, "worst_return": -0.356322, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.132832, "positive_rate": 0.214286, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": -0.155724, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.637931, "worst_return": -0.369565, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.242991, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.21109, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.032609, "worst_return": -0.376, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.183596, "energy": 65.163598, "activity_lines": [ 0.431667, 0.432273, 0.446357, 0.464312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.375, "volume": 3634, "typical_volume": 1764.0, "trend": 0.479667, "fair_value": 0.587554, "relative_strength": -28.535374, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.500016, "energy": 74.967593, "activity_lines": [ 0.410333, 0.422909, 0.437405, 0.457183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.375, "volume": 387, "typical_volume": 1771.15, "trend": 0.474167, "fair_value": 0.586013, "relative_strength": -28.406899, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.353764, "energy": 87.811124, "activity_lines": [ 0.394, 0.414, 0.429333, 0.45043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.375, "volume": 140, "typical_volume": 1777.7, "trend": 0.468667, "fair_value": 0.584719, "relative_strength": -27.589443, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.521011, "energy": 92.087971, "activity_lines": [ 0.382667, 0.405455, 0.422143, 0.444032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.375, "volume": 645, "typical_volume": 1659.45, "trend": 0.4645, "fair_value": 0.583424, "relative_strength": -27.665955, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.859935, "energy": 90.143787, "activity_lines": [ 0.376333, 0.397455, 0.415833, 0.437989 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }