{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "889f9807-84a3-4801-a75a-60862d63655f",
    "symbol": "RIOT",
    "name": "Riot Platforms, Inc.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 94.179,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 2.353,
    "architecture_energy": 19.43,
    "architecture_maturity": 59.49,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.158,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 57.04,
        "rotation_up": 14.83,
        "upward_expansion": 41.74,
        "deceleration": 87.5,
        "rotation_down": 44.3,
        "downward_expansion": 35.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        356.302673,
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        393.017144,
        368.908194
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 351.730011,
    "trend_reference": 339.49,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.036054,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 238.026987,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.47769,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 7.652404,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.404168,
    "excess_performance": 0.458835,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036054,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.154991,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.47769,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.365205,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076524,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.313673,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.404168,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.03432,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4262,
      "relative_activity": 0.404648,
      "balance": 1.03432,
      "dry_up": 0.836712,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.175898,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.852942,
      "from_high_reference": -0.300736,
      "from_low_reference": 0.699179
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 339.49,
      "fair_value_reference": 238.026987,
      "structural_low": 207.130005,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.044595,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024954,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.514397,
        "worst_return": -0.228731,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.080258,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.061512,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.257294,
        "worst_return": -0.425634,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.042176,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.045328,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.802301,
        "worst_return": -0.155206,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.047083,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.231364,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.105756,
        "worst_return": -0.199922,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.118809,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.080513,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.200421,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.076168,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.470167,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.235851,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.102846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.035122,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.44738,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.194229,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.41032,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "return": 0.355999,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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        "volume": 10455,
        "typical_volume": 18305.25,
        "trend": 287.114999,
        "fair_value": 222.099807,
        "relative_strength": 5.965881,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.124766,
        "energy": 30.384737,
        "activity_lines": [
          303.536665,
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          275.001046,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 412.0,
        "volume": 28730,
        "typical_volume": 18775.4,
        "trend": 287.945666,
        "fair_value": 223.561346,
        "relative_strength": 39.019676,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 60.263561,
        "energy": 73.67769,
        "activity_lines": [
          343.779999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 13628,
        "typical_volume": 18912.35,
        "trend": 289.243332,
        "fair_value": 224.910833,
        "relative_strength": 39.644352,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.799251,
        "energy": 86.889954,
        "activity_lines": [
          370.289329,
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          300.546378,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 10798,
        "typical_volume": 18921.0,
        "trend": 290.276332,
        "fair_value": 226.404423,
        "relative_strength": 41.887615,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.362386,
        "energy": 89.643197,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 8724,
        "typical_volume": 18812.45,
        "trend": 293.932999,
        "fair_value": 228.134679,
        "relative_strength": 55.858051,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 5699,
        "typical_volume": 17329.35,
        "trend": 297.973998,
        "fair_value": 229.752756,
        "relative_strength": 44.739846,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 16069.8,
        "trend": 304.931666,
        "fair_value": 231.606217,
        "relative_strength": 49.938691,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 725,
        "typical_volume": 13933.05,
        "trend": 320.137665,
        "fair_value": 235.371538,
        "relative_strength": 57.051606,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.354781,
        "energy": 73.541201,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 13507.35,
        "trend": 323.929665,
        "fair_value": 236.14891,
        "relative_strength": 20.787061,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 62.60097,
        "energy": 53.447269,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 369.0,
        "volume": 2802,
        "typical_volume": 12863.2,
        "trend": 326.762998,
        "fair_value": 236.466217,
        "relative_strength": 15.760746,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.420401,
        "energy": 35.961706,
        "activity_lines": [
          422.430001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 318.600006,
        "volume": 11830,
        "typical_volume": 12228.8,
        "trend": 328.762332,
        "fair_value": 236.505577,
        "relative_strength": -0.336253,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 14.589273,
        "energy": 22.082296,
        "activity_lines": [
          381.150669,
          414.108183,
          392.273761,
          362.77359
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 391.470001,
        "volume": 14773,
        "typical_volume": 11671.45,
        "trend": 333.728999,
        "fair_value": 237.049487,
        "relative_strength": 22.365197,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.208173,
        "energy": 28.487965,
        "activity_lines": [
          374.009336,
          407.680183,
          395.639809,
          366.819246
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 351.320007,
        "volume": 4386,
        "typical_volume": 10996.65,
        "trend": 336.942332,
        "fair_value": 237.432564,
        "relative_strength": 8.240084,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 5.481729,
        "energy": 20.662598,
        "activity_lines": [
          360.152671,
          394.253093,
          394.532143,
          367.95415
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 351.730011,
        "volume": 4262,
        "typical_volume": 10532.6,
        "trend": 339.49,
        "fair_value": 238.026987,
        "relative_strength": 7.652404,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 2.353041,
        "energy": 19.430394,
        "activity_lines": [
          356.302673,
          382.203822,
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          368.908194
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}