{ "ticker": { "uuid": "88a6092b-5194-46e5-89c9-90d7a8bb111b", "symbol": "605389", "name": "JiangSu Changling Hydraulic Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.799, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 3.93, "architecture_energy": 25.199, "architecture_maturity": 58.333, "architecture_confidence": 67.429, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.54, "rotation_up": 17.68, "upward_expansion": 44.92, "deceleration": 84.17, "rotation_down": 44.88, "downward_expansion": 34.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 74.590667, 80.545091, 82.411658, 78.03166 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 76.0, "trend_reference": 72.301905, "distance_from_trend": 0.051148, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.139649, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.293325, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 25.516312, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.213291, "excess_performance": 0.256495, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.051148, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.165055, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.293325, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.207613, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.255163, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.652149, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.213291, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.215838, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5237162, "relative_activity": 0.565136, "balance": 0.215838, "dry_up": 0.69993, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.137489, "annualized_volatility": 0.653406, "from_high_reference": -0.274809, "from_low_reference": 1.35298 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.301905, "fair_value_reference": 33.139649, "structural_low": 50.592291, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.028442, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.014522, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.521496, "worst_return": -0.142599, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.179861, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.153058, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.486901, "worst_return": -0.225669, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.499055, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.485315, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.902096, "worst_return": -0.156639, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.460039, "energy": 32.039757, "activity_lines": [ 88.053998, 88.204752, 83.831264, 77.810207 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 72.0, "volume": 7847115, "typical_volume": 9741204.3, "trend": 71.389126, "fair_value": 32.469528, "relative_strength": 25.649318, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.116361, "energy": 14.291925, "activity_lines": [ 82.051332, 85.175894, 83.392938, 77.890867 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 69.330002, "volume": 5400502, "typical_volume": 9663663.1, "trend": 71.758587, "fair_value": 32.782329, "relative_strength": 19.07747, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.415626, "energy": 20.171959, "activity_lines": [ 76.453333, 82.064181, 82.622513, 77.75802 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 76.0, "volume": 5237162, "typical_volume": 9267087.7, "trend": 72.301905, "fair_value": 33.139649, "relative_strength": 25.516312, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.930025, "energy": 25.198873, "activity_lines": [ 74.590667, 80.545091, 82.411658, 78.03166 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }