{ "ticker": { "uuid": "88a6fa28-e143-415e-b0c1-338367a581bd", "symbol": "XTJA", "name": "Innovator U.S. Equity Accelerated Plus ETF - January", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 75.289, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.738, "architecture_energy": 84.639, "architecture_maturity": 48.026, "architecture_confidence": 83.793, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.79, "rotation_up": 65.7, "upward_expansion": 93.05, "deceleration": 46.04, "rotation_down": 27.18, "downward_expansion": 17.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.42222, 34.230951, 33.87974, 33.332933 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 34.805, "trend_reference": 32.723327, "distance_from_trend": 0.063614, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.180285, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.235083, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.98007, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.089362, "excess_performance": -0.036263, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.063614, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027618, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.235083, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007761, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.029801, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003914, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.089362, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.733413, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69763, "relative_activity": 4.660716, "balance": 6.733413, "dry_up": 1.298728, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010363, "annualized_volatility": 0.102914, "from_high_reference": -0.000718, "from_low_reference": 0.178632 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.723327, "fair_value_reference": 28.180285, "structural_low": 29.53, "invalidation": 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"relative_strength": -2.397506, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.272955, "energy": 88.649765, "activity_lines": [ 34.027253, 33.891882, 33.312397, 32.85517 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.15, "volume": 4203, "typical_volume": 11969.0, "trend": 32.45461, "fair_value": 27.96268, "relative_strength": -1.223627, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.111518, "energy": 87.024832, "activity_lines": [ 34.09614, 33.959058, 33.45459, 32.970066 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.0461, "volume": 476, "typical_volume": 11608.45, "trend": 32.535927, "fair_value": 28.032076, "relative_strength": -0.882249, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.041885, "energy": 84.680696, "activity_lines": [ 34.10074, 33.994345, 33.575723, 33.072743 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.3925, "volume": 3317, "typical_volume": 11589.0, "trend": 32.628623, "fair_value": 28.104933, "relative_strength": -0.874465, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.548777, "energy": 85.687799, "activity_lines": [ 34.215187, 34.081602, 33.716576, 33.192522 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.805, "volume": 69763, "typical_volume": 14968.3, "trend": 32.723327, "fair_value": 28.180285, "relative_strength": -2.98007, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.738385, "energy": 84.638778, "activity_lines": [ 34.42222, 34.230951, 33.87974, 33.332933 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }