{ "ticker": { "uuid": "88b68bee-01bf-4493-8db1-4c80d921e537", "symbol": "301601", "name": "Yangzhou Huitong Technology Corp., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.684, "architecture_energy": 64.874, "architecture_maturity": 64.812, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.09, "rotation_up": 28.68, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.38, "rotation_down": 55.26, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.338667, 15.63153, 17.305556, 19.213102 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.86, "trend_reference": 21.958852, "distance_from_trend": -0.27774, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 28.896909, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.451152, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.84795, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.454795, "excess_performance": -0.462195, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.27774, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.169914, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.451152, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.170477, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.41848, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011724, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.454795, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.360373, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10975124, "relative_activity": 1.543263, "balance": 0.360373, "dry_up": 1.451497, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 7 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089662, "annualized_volatility": 0.361868, "from_high_reference": -0.561151, "from_low_reference": 0.128826 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.958852, "fair_value_reference": 28.896909, "structural_low": 14.05, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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"regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.13, "volume": 9689592, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.15, "volume": 9834959, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.68, "volume": 10790398, "typical_volume": 6858998.05, "trend": 22.356519, "fair_value": 29.05987, "relative_strength": -40.607363, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.89398, "energy": 67.29194, "activity_lines": [ 15.159333, 15.72782, 17.641535, 19.632232 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.86, "volume": 10975124, "typical_volume": 7111634.5, "trend": 21.958852, "fair_value": 28.896909, "relative_strength": -41.84795, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.684409, "energy": 64.873568, "activity_lines": [ 15.338667, 15.63153, 17.305556, 19.213102 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }