{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "88b6ea3a-394d-4870-9953-fd888263aaf9",
    "symbol": "SRPT",
    "name": "Sarepta Therapeutics Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -51.584,
    "architecture_energy": 48.383,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.101,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.085,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.56,
        "rotation_up": 18.98,
        "upward_expansion": 13.9,
        "deceleration": 35.45,
        "rotation_down": 57.22,
        "downward_expansion": 80.24
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.251333,
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        17.44131,
        17.870677
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 16.78,
    "trend_reference": 18.4145,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.088762,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 75.505577,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.777765,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -24.593339,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.092973,
    "excess_performance": -0.280427,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.088762,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.066494,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.777765,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015564,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.245933,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013904,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.092973,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.40264,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 18093187,
      "relative_activity": 1.121238,
      "balance": 0.40264,
      "dry_up": 1.011345,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.139258,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.646002,
      "from_high_reference": -0.337283,
      "from_low_reference": 0.143052
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 18.4145,
      "fair_value_reference": 75.505577,
      "structural_low": 14.68,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.08197,
        "positive_rate": 0.678571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.321429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.055365,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.31751,
        "worst_return": -0.575913,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "worst_return": -0.662529,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 15559887.45,
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        "fair_value": 77.265449,
        "relative_strength": -20.235781,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -32.519449,
        "energy": 18.28198,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.68,
        "volume": 12954770,
        "typical_volume": 15599893.55,
        "trend": 18.8645,
        "fair_value": 76.670256,
        "relative_strength": -26.271947,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -47.73535,
        "energy": 20.859209,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.86,
        "volume": 16722809,
        "typical_volume": 15770260.0,
        "trend": 18.6495,
        "fair_value": 76.090449,
        "relative_strength": -30.197185,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.297015,
        "energy": 44.497064,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.390667,
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          17.595667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.78,
        "volume": 18093187,
        "typical_volume": 16136787.95,
        "trend": 18.4145,
        "fair_value": 75.505577,
        "relative_strength": -24.593339,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.583635,
        "energy": 48.382505,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}