{ "ticker": { "uuid": "88bd223b-ab45-48eb-9544-3e25a9d6ad47", "symbol": "PCAR", "name": "PACCAR Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.415, "architecture_energy": 79.926, "architecture_maturity": 12.017, "architecture_confidence": 76.474, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.89, "rotation_up": 82.14, "upward_expansion": 95.82, "deceleration": 39.1, "rotation_down": 8.51, "downward_expansion": 17.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 131.330667, 127.359091, 122.683612, 121.527019 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 133.11, "trend_reference": 120.985874, "distance_from_trend": 0.100211, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 100.668447, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.322261, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.580402, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.051175, "excess_performance": -0.136279, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.100211, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05186, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.322261, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.142461, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.035804, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.136219, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.051175, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.712002, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23067862, "relative_activity": 1.519389, "balance": 4.712002, "dry_up": 1.288584, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049607, "annualized_volatility": 0.248037, "from_high_reference": -0.044025, "from_low_reference": 0.474267 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 120.985874, "fair_value_reference": 100.668447, "structural_low": 106.77, 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119.058705, "fair_value": 99.582268, "relative_strength": 2.762615, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.898885, "energy": 47.019331, "activity_lines": [ 123.206, 120.309818, 118.695747, 119.028737 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 132.24, "volume": 20855360, "typical_volume": 14303866.15, "trend": 119.761446, "fair_value": 99.93969, "relative_strength": 9.217505, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.886586, "energy": 73.225317, "activity_lines": [ 126.626, 122.987273, 120.050229, 119.879143 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 132.68, "volume": 21361175, "typical_volume": 14735494.4, "trend": 120.486478, "fair_value": 100.308206, "relative_strength": 8.71853, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.495364, "energy": 80.075313, "activity_lines": [ 129.306667, 125.346182, 121.388587, 120.712598 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 133.11, "volume": 23067862, "typical_volume": 15182332.05, "trend": 120.985874, "fair_value": 100.668447, "relative_strength": 3.580402, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.415496, "energy": 79.926184, "activity_lines": [ 131.330667, 127.359091, 122.683612, 121.527019 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }