{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "88c16a9f-7f1d-4eb0-b058-77abee743e1e",
    "symbol": "200725",
    "name": "BOE Technology Group Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 56.903,
    "architecture_energy": 42.484,
    "architecture_maturity": 72.922,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.3,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.21,
        "rotation_up": 39.6,
        "upward_expansion": 65.96,
        "deceleration": 88.32,
        "rotation_down": 27.05,
        "downward_expansion": 18.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.99,
        5.012353,
        4.703031,
        4.386577
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 5.2,
    "trend_reference": 3.982873,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.30559,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.901105,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.79242,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 44.374607,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.630094,
    "excess_performance": 0.622694,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.30559,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.213705,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.79242,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.391733,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.443746,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.385051,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.630094,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.956519,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16945187,
      "relative_activity": 0.671382,
      "balance": 0.956519,
      "dry_up": 0.926815,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.084251,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.406757,
      "from_high_reference": -0.097222,
      "from_low_reference": 0.918819
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.982873,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.901105,
      "structural_low": 2.96,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.01939,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015957,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.103806,
        "worst_return": -0.134367,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.042857,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018099,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.111498,
        "worst_return": -0.085271,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.078571,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023409,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.313705,
        "worst_return": -0.116279,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.123481,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.175715,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.050693,
        "worst_return": -0.297656,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.004049,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.082645,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003623,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.018116,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021428,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.053691,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.07554,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018518,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.092775,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.039146,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.043333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.108014,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.529781,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 24420614.75,
        "trend": 3.837873,
        "fair_value": 2.876457,
        "relative_strength": 44.083181,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 57.353414,
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          5.002,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.88,
        "volume": 17069120,
        "typical_volume": 24976733.55,
        "trend": 3.905873,
        "fair_value": 2.887662,
        "relative_strength": 44.06034,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.830455,
        "energy": 42.134579,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.2,
        "volume": 16945187,
        "typical_volume": 25239249.4,
        "trend": 3.982873,
        "fair_value": 2.901105,
        "relative_strength": 44.374607,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.902636,
        "energy": 42.483754,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}