{ "ticker": { "uuid": "88ce1ab1-5cef-40f4-b4f2-bc62aae90fd4", "symbol": "8472", "name": "GOMAJI Corp., LTD", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -21.588, "architecture_energy": 31.073, "architecture_maturity": 37.112, "architecture_confidence": 62.125, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.88, "rotation_up": 14.44, "upward_expansion": 15.87, "deceleration": 61.12, "rotation_down": 65.06, "downward_expansion": 43.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 69.499999, 73.769091, 75.925238, 75.106667 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 69.199997, "trend_reference": 72.836667, "distance_from_trend": -0.049929, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 45.116026, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.533823, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.265071, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.172881, "excess_performance": -0.268491, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.049929, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019408, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.533823, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.182903, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.352651, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107594, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.172881, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.410874, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47239, "relative_activity": 0.347962, "balance": 1.410874, "dry_up": 0.717753, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.130725, "annualized_volatility": 0.547112, "from_high_reference": -0.350235, "from_low_reference": 0.258182 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.836667, "fair_value_reference": 45.116026, "structural_low": 55.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.101958, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.163668, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.038718, "worst_return": -0.127379, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.050734, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.14747, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.066104, "worst_return": -0.096633, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.105998, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.360935, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.012016, "worst_return": -0.224012, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 1.604982, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.104139, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.099154, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.141772, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.10061, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.276316, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.132911, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.311111, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.127778, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.004354, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-11", "close": 36.099998, "volume": 13000, "typical_volume": 33750.0, "trend": 41.605, "fair_value": 48.034403, "relative_strength": -21.508462, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", 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"energy": 36.487143, "activity_lines": [ 83.086668, 82.460001, 78.728572, 75.79957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 78.5, "volume": 101009, "typical_volume": 187605.0, "trend": 73.03, "fair_value": 44.321795, "relative_strength": -23.477566, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.084611, "energy": 23.297358, "activity_lines": [ 81.073335, 82.201819, 78.983334, 76.174409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 68.900002, "volume": 184194, "typical_volume": 179864.5, "trend": 72.986667, "fair_value": 44.513462, "relative_strength": -34.054691, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.121259, "energy": 14.189574, "activity_lines": [ 76.626668, 80.018183, 78.221429, 75.907957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 68.199997, "volume": 90162, "typical_volume": 157909.6, "trend": 72.903333, "fair_value": 44.708333, "relative_strength": -33.628282, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.173489, "energy": 19.036337, "activity_lines": [ 73.053333, 77.761819, 77.351905, 75.59914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 68.900002, "volume": 68171, "typical_volume": 140817.15, "trend": 72.83, "fair_value": 44.912821, "relative_strength": -34.079524, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.43819, "energy": 29.960135, "activity_lines": [ 70.76, 75.654546, 76.603334, 75.340861 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 69.199997, "volume": 47239, "typical_volume": 135759.05, "trend": 72.836667, "fair_value": 45.116026, "relative_strength": -35.265071, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.587795, "energy": 31.073371, "activity_lines": [ 69.499999, 73.769091, 75.925238, 75.106667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }