{ "ticker": { "uuid": "88d5ec39-d5eb-46f8-bee8-ed36d01ba7ff", "symbol": "SIVR", "name": "abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 82.158, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.824, "architecture_energy": 69.08, "architecture_maturity": 30.53, "architecture_confidence": 74.534, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.47, "rotation_up": 17.42, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 49.83, "rotation_down": 75.05, "downward_expansion": 90.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 972.219971, 1001.06907, 1103.192802, 1162.966082 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 972.219971, "trend_reference": 1248.156665, "distance_from_trend": -0.221075, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 694.588208, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.399707, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.94979, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.215173, "excess_performance": -0.160506, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.221075, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001077, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.399707, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.607521, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.109498, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.348522, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.215173, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.529412, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 6.529412, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045189, "annualized_volatility": 0.461372, "from_high_reference": -0.493659, "from_low_reference": 0.620367 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1248.156665, "fair_value_reference": 694.588208, "structural_low": 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"relative_strength": -10.50528, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.951574, "energy": 88.866345, "activity_lines": [ 976.071973, 1018.682529, 1122.959281, 1181.645396 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 972.219971, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 35.95, "trend": 1248.156665, "fair_value": 694.588208, "relative_strength": -10.94979, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.824204, "energy": 69.080279, "activity_lines": [ 972.219971, 1001.06907, 1103.192802, 1162.966082 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }