{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "88d664c3-fc4f-42a0-becc-dc7b521cb000",
    "symbol": "261260",
    "name": "KODEX USD Futures",
    "exchange": "KSC",
    "country": "KR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^KS11",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 94.122,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 50.379,
    "architecture_energy": 72.272,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.761,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.77,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.28,
        "rotation_up": 77.42,
        "upward_expansion": 56.45,
        "deceleration": 18.84,
        "rotation_down": 14.01,
        "downward_expansion": 29.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4890.0,
        4701.0,
        4615.0,
        4629.333333
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 5075.0,
    "trend_reference": 4679.5,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.084518,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 5585.608974,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.091415,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -19.949039,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.050725,
    "excess_performance": -0.179104,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084518,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023069,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.091415,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08593,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.19949,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.32725,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050725,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.69377,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2273073,
      "relative_activity": 0.899306,
      "balance": 1.69377,
      "dry_up": 0.807994,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033528,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.179327,
      "from_high_reference": -0.09375,
      "from_low_reference": 0.192714
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4679.5,
      "fair_value_reference": 5585.608974,
      "structural_low": 4255.0,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.00873,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030411,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.0625,
        "worst_return": -0.072058,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.03607,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.088826,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.003584,
        "worst_return": -0.131746,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.106266,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.17963,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.012694,
        "worst_return": -0.169841,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.179295,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.143673,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.059944,
        "worst_return": -0.182796,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.00873,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.030428,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011344,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019214,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.086649,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030784,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "return": 0.043011,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.040105,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.05694,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": -0.030584,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.030333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": -0.074627,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4730.0,
        "volume": 1942069,
        "typical_volume": 2871604.65,
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        "fair_value": 5606.955128,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4995.0,
        "volume": 1940470,
        "typical_volume": 2723675.95,
        "trend": 4674.166667,
        "fair_value": 5595.544872,
        "relative_strength": -26.49884,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.336644,
        "energy": 45.560186,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5075.0,
        "volume": 2273073,
        "typical_volume": 2527584.4,
        "trend": 4679.5,
        "fair_value": 5585.608974,
        "relative_strength": -19.949039,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 50.379201,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}