{ "ticker": { "uuid": "88d836f1-d1aa-4953-95d1-440f3c9fb861", "symbol": "DPZ", "name": "Domino's Pizza, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 60.926, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 23.507, "architecture_energy": 39.653, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 52.117, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.66, "rotation_up": 53.41, "upward_expansion": 36.69, "deceleration": 47.33, "rotation_down": 16.67, "downward_expansion": 47.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 5977.058724, 5737.302527, 5676.484066, 5856.907607 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 6310.0, "trend_reference": 6140.560403, "distance_from_trend": 0.027594, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7746.724591, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.185462, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.632726, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.073376, "excess_performance": -0.018709, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.027594, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097184, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.185462, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098247, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.106327, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.246296, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.073376, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.151011, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 445, "relative_activity": 0.685195, "balance": 2.151011, "dry_up": 1.810763, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039821, "annualized_volatility": 0.305308, "from_high_reference": -0.276769, "from_low_reference": 0.248269 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6140.560403, "fair_value_reference": 7746.724591, "structural_low": 5055.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.027366, "positive_rate": 0.433333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.014558, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": 0.191179, "worst_return": -0.161829, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.053275, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.119524, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.252853, "worst_return": -0.244782, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.086924, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.205254, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.067782, "worst_return": -0.28427, 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"energy": 39.653301, "activity_lines": [ 5977.058724, 5737.302527, 5676.484066, 5856.907607 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }