{ "ticker": { "uuid": "88db12fa-1423-405b-ae92-4337528dc5c3", "symbol": "CRWS", "name": "Crown Crafts Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 76.695, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.902, "architecture_energy": 52.549, "architecture_maturity": 18.678, "architecture_confidence": 79.32, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.37, "rotation_up": 63.56, "upward_expansion": 84.77, "deceleration": 48.65, "rotation_down": 16.23, "downward_expansion": 9.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.982667, 2.943338, 2.855431, 2.806694 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3.0, "trend_reference": 2.768865, "distance_from_trend": 0.083476, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.359308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.106959, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.951876, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.058493, "excess_performance": -0.12896, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.083476, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04296, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.106959, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089289, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.029519, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104847, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.058493, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.58201, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 512738, "relative_activity": 2.416579, "balance": 2.58201, "dry_up": 1.446464, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05659, "annualized_volatility": 0.192219, "from_high_reference": -0.032258, "from_low_reference": 0.392528 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.768865, "fair_value_reference": 3.359308, "structural_low": 2.381944, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.029276, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.090038, "worst_return": -0.100359, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.018245, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.110788, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.014126, "worst_return": -0.022364, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.020329, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.121193, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.058493, "worst_return": -0.017836, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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70.118119, "activity_lines": [ 2.973333, 2.899909, 2.812807, 2.778382 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.95, "volume": 288465, "typical_volume": 189979.15, "trend": 2.760505, "fair_value": 3.363754, "relative_strength": 0.16485, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.110364, "energy": 60.938207, "activity_lines": [ 2.974, 2.919591, 2.832396, 2.791243 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.0, "volume": 512738, "typical_volume": 212175.15, "trend": 2.768865, "fair_value": 3.359308, "relative_strength": -2.951876, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.901957, "energy": 52.549372, "activity_lines": [ 2.982667, 2.943338, 2.855431, 2.806694 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }