{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "88dd771c-cde8-419f-b255-b4c149e0abc3",
    "symbol": "WMK",
    "name": "Weis Markets Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 30.093,
    "architecture_energy": 18.841,
    "architecture_maturity": 50.677,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.887,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.02,
        "rotation_up": 23.18,
        "upward_expansion": 54.26,
        "deceleration": 90.76,
        "rotation_down": 32.13,
        "downward_expansion": 20.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        75.888997,
        77.123544,
        75.924837,
        74.293184
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 75.25,
    "trend_reference": 72.513231,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.037742,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 67.440817,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.115793,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.619469,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.031107,
    "excess_performance": -0.094518,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037742,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062077,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.115793,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050246,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046195,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055416,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031107,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.158602,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1021992,
      "relative_activity": 1.367931,
      "balance": 1.158602,
      "dry_up": 1.067214,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.070188,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.284119,
      "from_high_reference": -0.101385,
      "from_low_reference": 0.260533
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 72.513231,
      "fair_value_reference": 67.440817,
      "structural_low": 59.696988,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.043942,
        "positive_rate": 0.705882,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.705882,
        "median_excess_return": 0.027938,
        "regime_survival": 0.529412,
        "best_return": 0.168761,
        "worst_return": -0.048417,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.081591,
        "positive_rate": 0.777778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.072966,
        "regime_survival": 0.222222,
        "best_return": 0.37364,
        "worst_return": -0.185498,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.096532,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.063064,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.36492,
        "worst_return": -0.251798,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.079899,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.078674,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.469692,
        "worst_return": -0.131359,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.033637,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.078404,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.03455,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.028863,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.044504,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.091247,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015435,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.033205,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.056994,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.071865,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.132656,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.112212,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.06638,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.023361,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 758309.45,
        "trend": 71.420068,
        "fair_value": 67.219727,
        "relative_strength": 1.539203,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 57.340872,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 73.027745,
        "volume": 684751,
        "typical_volume": 755603.7,
        "trend": 71.706268,
        "fair_value": 67.287352,
        "relative_strength": -3.621736,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.420968,
        "energy": 23.791078,
        "activity_lines": [
          76.890172,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 77.05,
        "volume": 805275,
        "typical_volume": 739077.25,
        "trend": 72.157908,
        "fair_value": 67.386502,
        "relative_strength": 0.83266,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.562773,
        "energy": 19.111815,
        "activity_lines": [
          76.600342,
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          75.783981,
          74.093694
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 75.25,
        "volume": 1021992,
        "typical_volume": 747107.6,
        "trend": 72.513231,
        "fair_value": 67.440817,
        "relative_strength": -4.619469,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.093431,
        "energy": 18.841418,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.888997,
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          74.293184
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}