{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8909f4fd-fb45-4c6d-a767-ea7ded8a0ad3",
    "symbol": "ROUS",
    "name": "LATTICE STRATEGIES TR HARTFORD MULTIFACTOR US EQUITY ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.976,
    "architecture_energy": 56.057,
    "architecture_maturity": 70.949,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.361,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.94,
        "rotation_up": 53.27,
        "upward_expansion": 81.9,
        "deceleration": 67.46,
        "rotation_down": 27.69,
        "downward_expansion": 8.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        67.106,
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        65.990217,
        64.734708
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 68.29,
    "trend_reference": 63.177,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.080931,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 51.552058,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.32468,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.85359,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.120428,
    "excess_performance": -0.005197,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080931,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050222,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.32468,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022116,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008536,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006502,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.120428,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.44417,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 547901,
      "relative_activity": 2.167635,
      "balance": 3.44417,
      "dry_up": 1.254426,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022102,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.104486,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006691,
      "from_low_reference": 0.276686
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 63.177,
      "fair_value_reference": 51.552058,
      "structural_low": 57.65,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.013833,
        "positive_rate": 0.707317,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.707317,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000749,
        "regime_survival": 0.780488,
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        "worst_return": -0.062699,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.036271,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.108488,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.046706,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 50.868397,
        "relative_strength": 1.87591,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 66.07,
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        "typical_volume": 220639.6,
        "trend": 62.313554,
        "fair_value": 51.033272,
        "relative_strength": 1.75344,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 64.02359,
        "energy": 55.789038,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 66.22,
        "volume": 246657,
        "typical_volume": 225324.5,
        "trend": 62.571952,
        "fair_value": 51.198512,
        "relative_strength": 2.495769,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.015782,
        "energy": 49.985719,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.422,
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          64.111972
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 66.8,
        "volume": 261045,
        "typical_volume": 232700.1,
        "trend": 62.86563,
        "fair_value": 51.371028,
        "relative_strength": 2.18844,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.749059,
        "energy": 49.410321,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.527333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 68.29,
        "volume": 547901,
        "typical_volume": 252764.45,
        "trend": 63.177,
        "fair_value": 51.552058,
        "relative_strength": 0.85359,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.975715,
        "energy": 56.056988,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}