{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "890db650-38da-4f29-ab89-7dd5a55da99e",
    "symbol": "PZS",
    "name": "Scherzer & Co. AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 59.807,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 35.074,
    "architecture_energy": 19.188,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.156,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.443,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.09,
        "rotation_up": 25.85,
        "upward_expansion": 54.69,
        "deceleration": 90.31,
        "rotation_down": 26.29,
        "downward_expansion": 18.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.690667,
        2.703273,
        2.683613,
        2.652934
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 2.66,
    "trend_reference": 2.617842,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.016104,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.309729,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.15165,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.857563,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.034138,
    "excess_performance": -0.030501,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016104,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05242,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.15165,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042484,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008576,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.070659,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034138,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.39964,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 166930,
      "relative_activity": 6.479171,
      "balance": 0.39964,
      "dry_up": 2.048014,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.030763,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.131186,
      "from_high_reference": -0.05,
      "from_low_reference": 0.209573
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.617842,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.309729,
      "structural_low": 2.33657,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.008621,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000591,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.038461,
        "worst_return": 0.0,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.052308,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.048073,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.173913,
        "worst_return": 0.0,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.077279,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.099375,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.173913,
        "worst_return": -0.019355,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.023255,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.158446,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.023255,
        "worst_return": -0.023255,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.063636,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017391,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.00885,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.026786,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019231,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.093458,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.026087,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.017391,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017094,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.041667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.015625,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.018587,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014815,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 3.797925,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 22994.7,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 13879,
        "typical_volume": 21991.65,
        "trend": 2.589377,
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        "relative_strength": 7.985169,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 56.362876,
        "energy": 42.371839,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.72,
          2.718767,
          2.666736,
          2.63628
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.7,
        "volume": 14683,
        "typical_volume": 21671.55,
        "trend": 2.600837,
        "fair_value": 2.308221,
        "relative_strength": 5.807779,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.726122,
        "energy": 31.313998,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.713333,
          2.716922,
          2.674302,
          2.643417
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.7,
        "volume": 15569,
        "typical_volume": 20191.5,
        "trend": 2.611642,
        "fair_value": 2.30904,
        "relative_strength": 3.476205,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.843523,
        "energy": 28.524332,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.706667,
          2.714182,
          2.68126,
          2.649814
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.66,
        "volume": 166930,
        "typical_volume": 25764.1,
        "trend": 2.617842,
        "fair_value": 2.309729,
        "relative_strength": -0.857563,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.073971,
        "energy": 19.187676,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.690667,
          2.703273,
          2.683613,
          2.652934
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}