{ "ticker": { "uuid": "892129f0-e32a-444f-a912-16bb9fbdba8d", "symbol": "300827", "name": "Sineng Electric Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.18, "architecture_energy": 66.027, "architecture_maturity": 42.812, "architecture_confidence": 88.123, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.36, "rotation_up": 19.83, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 52.6, "rotation_down": 65.01, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.756667, 25.76091, 29.228638, 31.665126 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 25.58, "trend_reference": 34.368953, "distance_from_trend": -0.255724, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.011408, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.20091, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.531542, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.307858, "excess_performance": -0.315258, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.255724, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08526, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.20091, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.369477, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.265315, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.211499, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.307858, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.91557, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 76127363, "relative_activity": 0.664349, "balance": 0.91557, "dry_up": 0.614071, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100486, "annualized_volatility": 0.476852, "from_high_reference": -0.481209, "from_low_reference": 0.136889 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.368953, "fair_value_reference": 32.011408, "structural_low": 22.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.00708, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.017794, "regime_survival": 0.807692, "best_return": 0.473612, "worst_return": -0.309469, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.044991, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.041526, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 1.076234, "worst_return": -0.259052, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.005363, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.016994, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.937835, "worst_return": -0.149529, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"fair_value": 32.354557, "relative_strength": -32.751826, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.690033, "energy": 94.937138, "activity_lines": [ 27.288, 29.536268, 32.937887, 34.43711 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 23.65, "volume": 49557189, "typical_volume": 135539691.45, "trend": 35.429576, "fair_value": 32.277332, "relative_strength": -29.665906, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.405824, "energy": 94.771675, "activity_lines": [ 25.771334, 28.048418, 31.83145, 33.650083 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.030001, "volume": 94474344, "typical_volume": 132893226.5, "trend": 35.074068, "fair_value": 32.176392, "relative_strength": -28.656804, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.919532, "energy": 90.976687, "activity_lines": [ 24.820001, 26.89119, 30.820303, 32.914626 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.780001, "volume": 61305039, "typical_volume": 123370969.75, "trend": 34.653192, "fair_value": 32.084258, "relative_strength": -25.181973, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.089028, "energy": 84.069194, "activity_lines": [ 24.523334, 26.136182, 29.950451, 32.250493 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.58, "volume": 76127363, "typical_volume": 114589331.6, "trend": 34.368953, "fair_value": 32.011408, "relative_strength": -26.531542, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.179867, "energy": 66.02684, "activity_lines": [ 24.756667, 25.76091, 29.228638, 31.665126 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }