{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8922d37e-e940-4f03-8538-61792d07fb91",
    "symbol": "VVL",
    "name": "Vanguard Global Value Factor ETF CAD",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.32,
    "architecture_energy": 90.184,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.238,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.879,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 84.05,
        "upward_expansion": 97.52,
        "deceleration": 40.8,
        "rotation_down": 12.49,
        "downward_expansion": 19.52
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        73.872663,
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        70.734665,
        69.194408
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 75.339996,
    "trend_reference": 67.540999,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.115471,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 54.5968,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.379934,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.321067,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.126495,
    "excess_performance": 0.006074,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.115471,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046143,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.379934,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087418,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033211,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046966,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126495,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.349749,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 43500,
      "relative_activity": 0.963669,
      "balance": 4.349749,
      "dry_up": 1.489256,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020267,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.129826,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007247,
      "from_low_reference": 0.345069
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 67.540999,
      "fair_value_reference": 54.5968,
      "structural_low": 61.150002,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.012454,
        "positive_rate": 0.658537,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.658537,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000386,
        "regime_survival": 0.804878,
        "best_return": 0.092348,
        "worst_return": -0.12773,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.037749,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005627,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.081502,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.048939,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.024217,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.007463,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "return": -0.00054,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "fair_value": 51.736846,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 75468.4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": 0.411171,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 1.915785,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 76900,
        "typical_volume": 47190.0,
        "trend": 66.490022,
        "fair_value": 53.997819,
        "relative_strength": 2.400379,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.250465,
        "energy": 90.446707,
        "activity_lines": [
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          67.78555
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 73.019997,
        "volume": 55300,
        "typical_volume": 44225.0,
        "trend": 66.795,
        "fair_value": 54.191269,
        "relative_strength": 3.141755,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.384685,
        "energy": 91.01806,
        "activity_lines": [
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          69.455999,
          68.206838
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 73.949997,
        "volume": 93200,
        "typical_volume": 46055.0,
        "trend": 67.187666,
        "fair_value": 54.390114,
        "relative_strength": 4.789972,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.876616,
        "energy": 87.67173,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.988664,
          71.99418,
          70.057047,
          68.668451
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 75.339996,
        "volume": 43500,
        "typical_volume": 45140.0,
        "trend": 67.540999,
        "fair_value": 54.5968,
        "relative_strength": 3.321067,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.320388,
        "energy": 90.183686,
        "activity_lines": [
          73.872663,
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          70.734665,
          69.194408
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}