{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8923ef68-43ba-4fe9-a0c8-6b92bd4b3b31", "symbol": "FHB", "name": "First Hawaiian Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 55.736, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.639, "architecture_energy": 23.442, "architecture_maturity": 59.237, "architecture_confidence": 73.868, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.59, "rotation_up": 26.09, "upward_expansion": 58.06, "deceleration": 88.29, "rotation_down": 30.76, "downward_expansion": 19.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.11, 28.586727, 28.103947, 27.426376 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 27.49, "trend_reference": 26.742323, "distance_from_trend": 0.027959, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.680854, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.212036, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.577858, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.029483, "excess_performance": -0.157971, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.027959, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048405, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.212036, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035047, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.065779, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019749, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.029483, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.598615, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8465755, "relative_activity": 0.893876, "balance": 0.598615, "dry_up": 1.566827, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052454, "annualized_volatility": 0.219312, "from_high_reference": -0.101046, "from_low_reference": 0.251686 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.742323, "fair_value_reference": 22.680854, "structural_low": 23.035099, "invalidation": "A 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"color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.094261, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.082721, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.096351, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.043529, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.119588, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.084719, "active": false }, { 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 29.29, "volume": 25030611, "typical_volume": 8881190.1, "trend": 26.533232, "fair_value": 22.493409, "relative_strength": 3.25552, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.460034, "energy": 73.436601, "activity_lines": [ 29.594, 28.961903, 27.885137, 27.198456 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.11, "volume": 14318096, "typical_volume": 9266366.55, "trend": 26.618385, "fair_value": 22.55365, "relative_strength": 0.805418, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.096327, "energy": 49.297042, "activity_lines": [ 29.172667, 28.920182, 28.006653, 27.300183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.79, "volume": 11542191, "typical_volume": 9472874.65, "trend": 26.705621, "fair_value": 22.61768, "relative_strength": -0.845847, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.745729, "energy": 32.133782, "activity_lines": [ 28.632667, 28.784727, 28.07928, 27.375771 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.49, "volume": 8465755, "typical_volume": 9470836.6, "trend": 26.742323, "fair_value": 22.680854, "relative_strength": -6.577858, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.639172, "energy": 23.442286, "activity_lines": [ 28.11, 28.586727, 28.103947, 27.426376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }