{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "892f5218-b9ab-4ed8-834b-dff32fb90257",
    "symbol": "QXR",
    "name": "QX Resources Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -59.783,
    "architecture_energy": 59.662,
    "architecture_maturity": 51.159,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.89,
        "rotation_up": 27.35,
        "upward_expansion": 12.75,
        "deceleration": 44.55,
        "rotation_down": 45.54,
        "downward_expansion": 81.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.003,
        0.003036,
        0.003326,
        0.003623
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.003,
    "trend_reference": 0.003983,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.246862,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.008986,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.666164,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -30.525928,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.4,
    "excess_performance": -0.463706,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.246862,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062745,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.666164,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02225,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.305259,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.254082,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.4,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.150711,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3847674,
      "relative_activity": 1.44133,
      "balance": 0.150711,
      "dry_up": 1.655301,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.115385,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.91785,
      "from_high_reference": -0.56166,
      "from_low_reference": 0.2
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.003983,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.008986,
      "structural_low": 0.0025,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 36,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.361111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.416667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000218,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 1.129032,
        "worst_return": -0.333333,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.142857,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.083738,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 1.307692,
        "worst_return": -0.466667,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.227273,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.299434,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 2.307692,
        "worst_return": -0.647059,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.220833,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.300898,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 1.307692,
        "worst_return": -0.714286,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2022-12-02",
        "end": "2023-02-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.298246,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-03-03",
        "end": "2023-03-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.210526,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-03-24",
        "end": "2023-11-17",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.096774,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-01-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.761905,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.25,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.333333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 2191368,
        "typical_volume": 3115425.8,
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        "fair_value": 0.009519,
        "relative_strength": -28.463344,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.628715,
        "energy": 80.091242,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.003,
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          0.003555,
          0.003826
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 9241730,
        "typical_volume": 3470469.65,
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        "fair_value": 0.009358,
        "relative_strength": -27.578058,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.800304,
        "energy": 81.798667,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.003,
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          0.003469,
          0.003756
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.003,
        "volume": 2394734,
        "typical_volume": 3097849.9,
        "trend": 0.004017,
        "fair_value": 0.009166,
        "relative_strength": -28.689723,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.37197,
        "energy": 73.335871,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.003,
          0.003064,
          0.003393,
          0.003688
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.003,
        "volume": 3847674,
        "typical_volume": 2669530.85,
        "trend": 0.003983,
        "fair_value": 0.008986,
        "relative_strength": -30.525928,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.783301,
        "energy": 59.662175,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.003,
          0.003036,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}