{ "ticker": { "uuid": "893d4251-3d49-4e3a-af6b-1d7821627ed2", "symbol": "A1LN34", "name": "Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -82.233, "architecture_energy": 91.055, "architecture_maturity": 74.0, "architecture_confidence": 77.562, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.29, "rotation_up": 10.85, "upward_expansion": 23.54, "deceleration": 34.19, "rotation_down": 81.12, "downward_expansion": 94.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.846666, 67.093454, 71.010333, 74.206236 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 55.619999, "trend_reference": 78.928, "distance_from_trend": -0.295307, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 73.558013, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.243862, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -45.536843, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.390399, "excess_performance": -0.333351, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.295307, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.158936, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.243862, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.263167, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.455368, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061045, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.390399, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.021108, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19435, "relative_activity": 2.128463, "balance": 1.021108, "dry_up": 1.048297, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11591, "annualized_volatility": 0.523434, "from_high_reference": -0.579909, "from_low_reference": 0.106866 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 78.928, "fair_value_reference": 73.558013, "structural_low": 50.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.002853, "positive_rate": 0.458333, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.017986, "regime_survival": 0.791667, "best_return": 0.153786, "worst_return": -0.182052, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.025762, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.04046, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.938642, "worst_return": -0.237455, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.17415, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.089733, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.066459, "worst_return": -0.390399, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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73.533333, 74.187454, 75.351619, 77.806172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.950001, "volume": 17304, "typical_volume": 8159.35, "trend": 80.693, "fair_value": 73.490577, "relative_strength": -51.548586, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.385287, "energy": 66.654244, "activity_lines": [ 65.754, 70.121091, 72.934857, 75.823849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.619999, "volume": 19435, "typical_volume": 9131.0, "trend": 78.928, "fair_value": 73.558013, "relative_strength": -45.536843, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.233278, "energy": 91.054599, "activity_lines": [ 60.846666, 67.093454, 71.010333, 74.206236 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }