{ "ticker": { "uuid": "893ea58a-1e0f-4fc0-8630-6dd804023a44", "symbol": "1150", "name": "Alinma Bank", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -17.1, "architecture_energy": 26.818, "architecture_maturity": 35.466, "architecture_confidence": 50.311, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.8, "rotation_up": 14.39, "upward_expansion": 19.98, "deceleration": 67.92, "rotation_down": 59.74, "downward_expansion": 35.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.65458, 23.979389, 24.082543, 24.002038 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 23.91, "trend_reference": 23.787477, "distance_from_trend": 0.005151, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.972822, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.040795, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.73726, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.016039, "excess_performance": 0.047868, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005151, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056955, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.040795, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001723, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.077373, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002123, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.016039, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.708659, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27063461, "relative_activity": 1.274003, "balance": 1.708659, "dry_up": 1.087258, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02802, "annualized_volatility": 0.153759, "from_high_reference": -0.05792, "from_low_reference": 0.211268 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.787477, "fair_value_reference": 22.972822, "structural_low": 21.850484, "invalidation": "A 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"Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.040057, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.002256, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.021903, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.046457, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.078125, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.043223, "active": false }, 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20.190852, "activity_lines": [ 24.300234, 24.383497, 24.241126, 24.012706 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.552599, "volume": 28954704, "typical_volume": 20944775.15, "trend": 23.588377, "fair_value": 22.959619, "relative_strength": 7.078649, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.63109, "energy": 16.609905, "activity_lines": [ 23.978849, 24.248083, 24.190984, 24.017764 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.117174, "volume": 21300930, "typical_volume": 20570663.65, "trend": 23.682546, "fair_value": 22.966198, "relative_strength": 6.923812, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.483158, "energy": 34.230557, "activity_lines": [ 23.622149, 24.033635, 24.098256, 23.987364 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.91, "volume": 27063461, "typical_volume": 21242858.6, "trend": 23.787477, "fair_value": 22.972822, "relative_strength": 7.73726, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.100492, "energy": 26.818087, "activity_lines": [ 23.65458, 23.979389, 24.082543, 24.002038 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }