{ "ticker": { "uuid": "893ed57a-724f-4373-b99c-e59eee355db6", "symbol": "ODDS", "name": "PACER BLUESTAR DIGITAL ENTERTAINMENT ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 89.376, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 36.564, "architecture_energy": 33.963, "architecture_maturity": 18.782, "architecture_confidence": 43.111, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.37, "rotation_up": 55.57, "upward_expansion": 50.7, "deceleration": 26.56, "rotation_down": 24.97, "downward_expansion": 20.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.977813, 24.795289, 24.562733, 24.435077 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 25.4123, "trend_reference": 24.558335, "distance_from_trend": 0.034773, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.433712, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.040051, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -19.523889, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.019566, "excess_performance": -0.167888, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.034773, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05711, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.040051, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037417, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.195239, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112619, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.019566, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.568146, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2443, "relative_activity": 0.549131, "balance": 0.568146, "dry_up": 0.689897, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035289, "annualized_volatility": 0.222139, "from_high_reference": -0.280045, "from_low_reference": 0.129274 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.558335, "fair_value_reference": 24.433712, "structural_low": 22.503224, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.039229, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.071196, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.052637, "worst_return": 0.025821, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.195533, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.05244, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.195533, "worst_return": 0.195533, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.280596, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.116127, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.280596, "worst_return": 0.280596, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.790818, "energy": 12.166636, "activity_lines": [ 24.74614, 24.575861, 24.375739, 24.426687 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.0741, "volume": 4680, "typical_volume": 4416.3, "trend": 24.806531, "fair_value": 24.363294, "relative_strength": -20.968244, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.792364, "energy": 16.408149, "activity_lines": [ 24.58466, 24.515479, 24.36479, 24.368217 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.1, "volume": 992, "typical_volume": 4421.9, "trend": 24.669429, "fair_value": 24.394631, "relative_strength": -17.28923, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.5154, "energy": 30.548532, "activity_lines": [ 24.773873, 24.634958, 24.451103, 24.38715 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.4123, "volume": 2443, "typical_volume": 4448.85, "trend": 24.558335, "fair_value": 24.433712, "relative_strength": -19.523889, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.564276, "energy": 33.963175, "activity_lines": [ 24.977813, 24.795289, 24.562733, 24.435077 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }