{ "ticker": { "uuid": "894be60c-5ec1-4261-996f-725672d799f8", "symbol": "002054", "name": "Dymatic Chemicals,Inc.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.387, "architecture_energy": 57.381, "architecture_maturity": 37.869, "architecture_confidence": 95.698, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.7, "rotation_up": 24.51, "upward_expansion": 10.14, "deceleration": 55.63, "rotation_down": 56.01, "downward_expansion": 83.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.864, 6.929636, 7.343339, 7.759346 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.12, "trend_reference": 8.234406, "distance_from_trend": -0.135335, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.538117, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.088999, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.837713, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.211728, "excess_performance": -0.219128, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.135335, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026889, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.088999, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.239488, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.118377, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036381, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.211728, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.367804, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 63500126, "relative_activity": 1.181491, "balance": 0.367804, "dry_up": 1.184661, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067632, "annualized_volatility": 0.420457, "from_high_reference": -0.406025, "from_low_reference": 0.123811 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.234406, "fair_value_reference": 6.538117, "structural_low": 6.37, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.016903, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": 0.010401, "regime_survival": 0.730769, "best_return": 0.150611, "worst_return": -0.172684, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.007893, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.016592, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.096311, "worst_return": -0.133667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.002718, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.011746, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.228106, "worst_return": -0.203247, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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87.252493, "activity_lines": [ 6.942, 7.181091, 7.657486, 8.041617 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.44, "volume": 59374892, "typical_volume": 57333553.8, "trend": 8.261504, "fair_value": 6.537551, "relative_strength": -17.949743, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.804856, "energy": 86.137236, "activity_lines": [ 6.754667, 6.996545, 7.503228, 7.922087 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.86, "volume": 74531167, "typical_volume": 54787294.65, "trend": 8.240978, "fair_value": 6.536814, "relative_strength": -10.92247, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.418518, "energy": 71.32254, "activity_lines": [ 6.766, 6.927273, 7.405187, 7.831667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.12, "volume": 63500126, "typical_volume": 53745748.8, "trend": 8.234406, "fair_value": 6.538117, "relative_strength": -11.837713, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.386832, "energy": 57.381372, "activity_lines": [ 6.864, 6.929636, 7.343339, 7.759346 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }