{ "ticker": { "uuid": "894d567b-0206-485a-bace-3c500433b860", "symbol": "267770", "name": "Mirae Asset Tiger 200 Futures Leverage ETF", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 75.614, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -34.108, "architecture_energy": 41.254, "architecture_maturity": 62.886, "architecture_confidence": 49.409, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.15, "rotation_up": 14.05, "upward_expansion": 17.65, "deceleration": 69.02, "rotation_down": 70.72, "downward_expansion": 44.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 82860.666667, 104432.272727, 113974.761905, 105802.55914 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 69585.0, "trend_reference": 93009.5, "distance_from_trend": -0.251851, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30759.570075, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.262223, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.067325, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.277258, "excess_performance": 0.047429, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.251851, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.448426, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.262223, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -3.19707, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.010673, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.856377, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.277258, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.053491, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 528946, "relative_activity": 0.456774, "balance": 1.053491, "dry_up": 0.618349, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.43157, "annualized_volatility": 1.073614, "from_high_reference": -0.640016, "from_low_reference": 2.938476 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 93009.5, "fair_value_reference": 30759.570075, "structural_low": 50365.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.008439, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.000893, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.538803, "worst_return": -0.132226, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.025012, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.013371, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.390813, "worst_return": -0.255452, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.049656, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.026377, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.158039, "worst_return": -0.157148, "sufficient": false }, 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"fair_value": 29945.779935, "relative_strength": 21.059888, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.592389, "energy": 22.62316, "activity_lines": [ 105476.333333, 124443.818182, 119920.309524, 107748.322581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 83085.0, "volume": 1043379, "typical_volume": 1191464.7, "trend": 92158.833333, "fair_value": 30395.372233, "relative_strength": 15.561131, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -7.714789, "energy": 27.477285, "activity_lines": [ 94090.666667, 115227.636364, 117643.47619, 107258.935484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 69585.0, "volume": 528946, "typical_volume": 1158003.3, "trend": 93009.5, "fair_value": 30759.570075, "relative_strength": 1.067325, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.108155, "energy": 41.254111, "activity_lines": [ 82860.666667, 104432.272727, 113974.761905, 105802.55914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }