{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "89591f3f-2395-46ed-95b1-cdf7183cd3c2",
    "symbol": "ROBG",
    "name": "L&G ROBO Global Robotics and Automation UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 17.733,
    "architecture_energy": 21.668,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.478,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.8,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 49.78,
        "rotation_up": 24.06,
        "upward_expansion": 45.59,
        "deceleration": 81.93,
        "rotation_down": 42.67,
        "downward_expansion": 34.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2428.7,
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        2487.502381,
        2438.47043
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 2536.0,
    "trend_reference": 2373.358333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.068528,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1896.674679,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.337077,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 5.418795,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.157991,
    "excess_performance": 0.106756,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068528,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060968,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.337077,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047557,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054188,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.126527,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157991,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.983523,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 189143,
      "relative_activity": 2.120481,
      "balance": 0.983523,
      "dry_up": 1.391052,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.05218,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.273702,
      "from_high_reference": -0.063861,
      "from_low_reference": 0.390732
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2373.358333,
      "fair_value_reference": 1896.674679,
      "structural_low": 2017.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.051839,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.082764,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.165207,
        "worst_return": -0.174026,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.024252,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009459,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.221898,
        "worst_return": -0.021645,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.062589,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.059496,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.092352,
        "worst_return": -0.137638,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.055067,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013018,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.294805,
        "worst_return": -0.23219,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.010629,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.072114,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.009713,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021004,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.018937,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.011833,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.119417,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.059199,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-03",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2328.5,
        "volume": 102264,
        "typical_volume": 84265.55,
        "trend": 2343.558333,
        "fair_value": 1884.165064,
        "relative_strength": -0.005184,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 17.541694,
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          2424.251613
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2382.5,
        "volume": 49596,
        "typical_volume": 80268.45,
        "trend": 2353.708333,
        "fair_value": 1887.655449,
        "relative_strength": 0.879806,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 14.604556,
        "energy": 18.835901,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2361.5,
        "volume": 155314,
        "typical_volume": 84451.0,
        "trend": 2362.341667,
        "fair_value": 1891.448718,
        "relative_strength": -1.325625,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -2.027185,
        "energy": 21.571428,
        "activity_lines": [
          2395.033333,
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          2476.920238,
          2427.266667
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2536.0,
        "volume": 189143,
        "typical_volume": 89198.15,
        "trend": 2373.358333,
        "fair_value": 1896.674679,
        "relative_strength": 5.418795,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 17.732632,
        "energy": 21.667822,
        "activity_lines": [
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          2438.47043
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}