{ "ticker": { "uuid": "895c2cbb-a81b-4abe-b715-aa7a4672a06b", "symbol": "GFT", "name": "GFT Technologies SE", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.565, "architecture_energy": 64.005, "architecture_maturity": 18.579, "architecture_confidence": 87.474, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.17, "rotation_up": 66.59, "upward_expansion": 85.7, "deceleration": 47.31, "rotation_down": 13.98, "downward_expansion": 12.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.204667, 21.572129, 21.046522, 20.300376 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 23.65, "trend_reference": 19.590217, "distance_from_trend": 0.207235, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.427399, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.054514, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.691006, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.246048, "excess_performance": 0.181409, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.207235, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049391, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.054514, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.137675, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.15691, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068323, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.246048, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.426535, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 418265, "relative_activity": 1.620138, "balance": 1.426535, "dry_up": 1.38206, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07764, "annualized_volatility": 0.539541, "from_high_reference": -0.052104, "from_low_reference": 0.706349 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.590217, "fair_value_reference": 22.427399, "structural_low": 13.86, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.025602, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": -0.007597, "regime_survival": 0.65, "best_return": 0.421603, "worst_return": -0.262527, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.012235, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.019091, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.45, "worst_return": -0.263052, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.057842, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.019544, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.75378, "worst_return": -0.371855, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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525120, "typical_volume": 255362.4, "trend": 19.49855, "fair_value": 22.438452, "relative_strength": 15.066278, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.517872, "energy": 36.088444, "activity_lines": [ 21.342667, 21.112038, 20.695505, 20.03254 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.65, "volume": 418265, "typical_volume": 258166.2, "trend": 19.590217, "fair_value": 22.427399, "relative_strength": 15.691006, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.565049, "energy": 64.004542, "activity_lines": [ 22.204667, 21.572129, 21.046522, 20.300376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }