{ "ticker": { "uuid": "896301e5-b0f4-4abb-a4ad-b6d9249cee70", "symbol": "ERAS", "name": "Erasca Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.69, "architecture_energy": 68.867, "architecture_maturity": 30.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.091, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.93, "rotation_up": 68.43, "upward_expansion": 88.69, "deceleration": 45.93, "rotation_down": 12.19, "downward_expansion": 15.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.59, 17.875818, 16.124286, 15.575118 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 18.41, "trend_reference": 14.552, "distance_from_trend": 0.265118, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.58859, "distance_from_fair_value": 3.012126, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 73.591087, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.497966, "excess_performance": 0.310512, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.265118, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.435533, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 3.012126, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.140577, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.735911, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.292514, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.497966, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.394615, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15138301, "relative_activity": 0.515296, "balance": 2.394615, "dry_up": 0.745579, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.122813, "annualized_volatility": 1.255857, "from_high_reference": -0.241763, "from_low_reference": 12.841065 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.552, "fair_value_reference": 4.58859, "structural_low": 8.7, "invalidation": "A 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.257408, "energy": 72.446958, "activity_lines": [ 18.071333, 16.176, 15.168762, 14.628624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.11, "volume": 16209255, "typical_volume": 31059526.9, "trend": 13.678333, "fair_value": 4.389615, "relative_strength": 102.878746, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.425935, "energy": 75.219475, "activity_lines": [ 18.718, 16.992727, 15.558714, 15.012667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.15, "volume": 17941505, "typical_volume": 30640082.05, "trend": 14.163667, "fair_value": 4.489231, "relative_strength": 85.452089, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.722535, "energy": 77.902273, "activity_lines": [ 18.682, 17.473455, 15.839905, 15.301161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.41, "volume": 15138301, "typical_volume": 29377852.35, "trend": 14.552, "fair_value": 4.58859, "relative_strength": 73.591087, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.689548, "energy": 68.867396, "activity_lines": [ 18.59, 17.875818, 16.124286, 15.575118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }