{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8964d822-facf-430e-bd03-c9effca2e8a2", "symbol": "NRIM", "name": "Northrim BanCorp Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 57.031, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.547, "architecture_energy": 31.224, "architecture_maturity": 33.211, "architecture_confidence": 45.086, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.64, "rotation_up": 43.12, "upward_expansion": 64.97, "deceleration": 63.86, "rotation_down": 22.11, "downward_expansion": 14.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.804, 26.845918, 26.046508, 25.446253 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 26.37, "trend_reference": 24.995273, "distance_from_trend": 0.054999, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.32804, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.438779, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.801467, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.033436, "excess_performance": -0.154018, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054999, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018855, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.438779, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006711, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.048015, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07476, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.033436, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.032413, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 862338, "relative_activity": 1.191076, "balance": 1.032413, "dry_up": 1.16408, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064702, "annualized_volatility": 0.262995, "from_high_reference": -0.133215, "from_low_reference": 0.370837 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.995273, "fair_value_reference": 18.32804, "structural_low": 21.803302, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.009109, "positive_rate": 0.52, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": -0.01068, "regime_survival": 0.68, "best_return": 0.370818, "worst_return": -0.128873, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.034678, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.03326, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.323795, "worst_return": -0.176843, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.069196, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.073427, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.628707, "worst_return": -0.128333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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24.804831 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 27.22, "volume": 786243, "typical_volume": 723266.55, "trend": 24.991729, "fair_value": 17.908195, "relative_strength": -1.858201, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.737742, "energy": 64.116521, "activity_lines": [ 26.978667, 26.130828, 25.230987, 24.94879 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.84, "volume": 721138, "typical_volume": 715089.9, "trend": 25.029026, "fair_value": 18.023375, "relative_strength": 4.826096, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.654168, "energy": 76.585039, "activity_lines": [ 27.371333, 26.560492, 25.55104, 25.13255 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.09, "volume": 926905, "typical_volume": 726439.9, "trend": 25.039349, "fair_value": 18.128077, "relative_strength": 3.539725, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.57453, "energy": 62.433298, "activity_lines": [ 27.378, 26.792818, 25.777508, 25.265516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.51, "volume": 860792, "typical_volume": 730385.45, "trend": 25.039222, "fair_value": 18.227017, "relative_strength": 0.644415, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.625903, "energy": 43.003383, "activity_lines": [ 27.066, 26.850491, 25.928627, 25.360396 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.37, "volume": 862338, "typical_volume": 723999.25, "trend": 24.995273, "fair_value": 18.32804, "relative_strength": -4.801467, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.546513, "energy": 31.223818, "activity_lines": [ 26.804, 26.845918, 26.046508, 25.446253 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }