{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8971fa1c-f9c1-4396-874d-8ca65924ba45", "symbol": "SHMM", "name": "Shamaym Improve Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 60.519, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.255, "architecture_energy": 37.393, "architecture_maturity": 16.062, "architecture_confidence": 86.742, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.7, "rotation_up": 14.78, "upward_expansion": 8.44, "deceleration": 40.18, "rotation_down": 54.69, "downward_expansion": 77.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.691533, 1.757236, 1.7785, 1.805581 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.706, "trend_reference": 1.845867, "distance_from_trend": -0.075773, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.696212, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.005771, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.253446, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.191469, "excess_performance": -0.220369, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.075773, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021603, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.005771, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008548, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.292534, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.24718, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.191469, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.10771, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7386, "relative_activity": 0.077657, "balance": 3.10771, "dry_up": 0.39881, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.174813, "annualized_volatility": 0.805304, "from_high_reference": -0.553403, "from_low_reference": 0.386992 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.845867, "fair_value_reference": 1.696212, "structural_low": 1.334, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.080575, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.072629, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.282772, "worst_return": -0.201173, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.076922, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.015604, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.32397, "worst_return": -0.32718, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.207278, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.122532, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.368829, "worst_return": 0.045728, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.624, "volume": 76911, "typical_volume": 96394.35, "trend": 1.831867, "fair_value": 1.68091, "relative_strength": -37.024016, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.170621, "energy": 15.27165, "activity_lines": [ 1.765933, 1.844073, 1.80711, 1.832434 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.682, "volume": 15022, "typical_volume": 95656.05, "trend": 1.8386, "fair_value": 1.686365, "relative_strength": -34.836596, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.853999, "energy": 24.881242, "activity_lines": [ 1.727867, 1.817436, 1.794667, 1.822766 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.709, "volume": 52405, "typical_volume": 96288.2, "trend": 1.842767, "fair_value": 1.691333, "relative_strength": -30.59321, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.043267, "energy": 27.165175, "activity_lines": [ 1.706667, 1.789891, 1.78621, 1.814404 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.706, "volume": 7386, "typical_volume": 95110.45, "trend": 1.845867, "fair_value": 1.696212, "relative_strength": -29.253446, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.254991, "energy": 37.39253, "activity_lines": [ 1.691533, 1.757236, 1.7785, 1.805581 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }