{ "ticker": { "uuid": "89819745-c967-4467-ac91-21b1afecdeef", "symbol": "300692", "name": "Anhui Zhonghuan Environmental Protection Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 79.435, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 15.384, "architecture_energy": 14.786, "architecture_maturity": 16.773, "architecture_confidence": 63.645, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.28, "rotation_up": 52.12, "upward_expansion": 32.29, "deceleration": 32.45, "rotation_down": 20.7, "downward_expansion": 23.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.548, 8.324727, 8.328143, 8.361011 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 9.32, "trend_reference": 8.462, "distance_from_trend": 0.101394, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.603173, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.411443, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.775262, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.034406, "excess_performance": 0.027006, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.101394, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016504, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.411443, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062764, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.077753, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.163389, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.034406, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.50411, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 125000095, "relative_activity": 1.558323, "balance": 1.50411, "dry_up": 1.850685, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101354, "annualized_volatility": 0.440299, "from_high_reference": -0.123236, "from_low_reference": 0.486443 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.462, "fair_value_reference": 6.603173, "structural_low": 7.33, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.002117, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.01611, "regime_survival": 0.590909, "best_return": 0.156305, "worst_return": -0.133598, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.021467, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.006885, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.169516, "worst_return": -0.18136, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.041564, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.055955, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.149255, "worst_return": -0.238026, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.370941, "energy": 10.951549, "activity_lines": [ 8.267333, 8.138909, 8.290571, 8.360839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.98, "volume": 126123122, "typical_volume": 77344204.15, "trend": 8.439333, "fair_value": 6.582535, "relative_strength": -3.890351, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.965025, "energy": 18.395055, "activity_lines": [ 8.237333, 8.106, 8.259571, 8.330086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.03, "volume": 95841789, "typical_volume": 76969199.65, "trend": 8.431333, "fair_value": 6.588277, "relative_strength": -1.909223, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.755204, "energy": 15.308215, "activity_lines": [ 8.197333, 8.091091, 8.232333, 8.303677 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.32, "volume": 125000095, "typical_volume": 80214491.8, "trend": 8.462, "fair_value": 6.603173, "relative_strength": 7.775262, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.384329, "energy": 14.785683, "activity_lines": [ 8.548, 8.324727, 8.328143, 8.361011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }