{ "ticker": { "uuid": "898c58b6-8fc1-43a7-9772-16d948560b68", "symbol": "HEI-A", "name": "HEICO Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 66.57, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.864, "architecture_energy": 41.538, "architecture_maturity": 35.739, "architecture_confidence": 71.213, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.78, "rotation_up": 50.04, "upward_expansion": 76.21, "deceleration": 60.98, "rotation_down": 21.6, "downward_expansion": 5.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 258.338667, 256.133978, 246.581871, 241.077495 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 266.31, "trend_reference": 239.47184, "distance_from_trend": 0.112072, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 201.512484, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.321556, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.592563, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.060362, "excess_performance": -0.065263, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.112072, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003165, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.321556, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.168219, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.025926, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.161871, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.060362, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.817975, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 977601, "relative_activity": 0.632179, "balance": 2.817975, "dry_up": 0.646222, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067832, "annualized_volatility": 0.34733, "from_high_reference": -0.047737, "from_low_reference": 0.336555 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 239.47184, "fair_value_reference": 201.512484, "structural_low": 199.251003, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.018366, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.016857, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.012287, "worst_return": -0.052222, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.027579, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.001689, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.106399, "worst_return": -0.148168, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.095517, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.067571, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.240381, "worst_return": -0.151396, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.313003, "energy": 40.306221, "activity_lines": [ 254.858126, 249.606031, 237.017875, 236.711889 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 250.07, "volume": 867374, "typical_volume": 1662870.9, "trend": 239.906402, "fair_value": 199.195991, "relative_strength": -5.76044, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.120225, "energy": 31.583524, "activity_lines": [ 253.89427, 250.899319, 238.898469, 237.355681 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 253.4, "volume": 1075942, "typical_volume": 1627845.15, "trend": 239.695307, "fair_value": 199.935007, "relative_strength": -3.633845, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.784005, "energy": 28.794112, "activity_lines": [ 253.833566, 252.279152, 241.048778, 238.226235 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 257.28, "volume": 1076354, "typical_volume": 1595675.25, "trend": 239.700174, "fair_value": 200.677545, "relative_strength": -2.83167, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.860812, "energy": 26.798148, "activity_lines": [ 254.67, 253.688849, 243.470801, 239.360732 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 266.31, "volume": 977601, "typical_volume": 1546399.95, "trend": 239.47184, "fair_value": 201.512484, "relative_strength": -2.592563, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.864116, "energy": 41.538236, "activity_lines": [ 258.338667, 256.133978, 246.581871, 241.077495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }