{ "ticker": { "uuid": "898f24fd-206d-4224-8750-1bf70578e62d", "symbol": "BKT", "name": "Bankinter, S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.67, "architecture_energy": 91.488, "architecture_maturity": 26.13, "architecture_confidence": 76.25, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.73, "rotation_up": 85.23, "upward_expansion": 99.67, "deceleration": 39.13, "rotation_down": 9.14, "downward_expansion": 21.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.031334, 15.5968, 14.992655, 14.63858 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 16.450001, "trend_reference": 14.284141, "distance_from_trend": 0.151627, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.416817, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.746875, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.480675, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.154536, "excess_performance": 0.030106, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.151627, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040369, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.746875, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.128867, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.024807, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051259, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.154536, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.414731, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6581085, "relative_activity": 1.045673, "balance": 3.414731, "dry_up": 1.073689, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038309, "annualized_volatility": 0.280299, "from_high_reference": -0.009036, "from_low_reference": 0.38536 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.284141, "fair_value_reference": 9.416817, "structural_low": 12.523343, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 46, "median_return": 0.009346, "positive_rate": 0.586957, "directional_follow_through": 0.586957, "median_excess_return": -0.007768, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.23645, "worst_return": -0.216851, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.066043, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.022115, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.20353, "worst_return": -0.203106, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.116791, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.03739, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.375343, "worst_return": -0.130873, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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14.146282, "fair_value": 9.274472, "relative_strength": 3.051141, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.71776, "energy": 91.192175, "activity_lines": [ 15.536, 15.12301, 14.639149, 14.378342 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.93, "volume": 5529718, "typical_volume": 7350650.15, "trend": 14.200038, "fair_value": 9.344214, "relative_strength": 1.167725, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.804123, "energy": 87.230338, "activity_lines": [ 15.741333, 15.331357, 14.798368, 14.493421 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.450001, "volume": 6581085, "typical_volume": 6293638.0, "trend": 14.284141, "fair_value": 9.416817, "relative_strength": 2.480675, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.670385, "energy": 91.488359, "activity_lines": [ 16.031334, 15.5968, 14.992655, 14.63858 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }