{ "ticker": { "uuid": "89aaa90e-eae8-4beb-9a7c-9bae3257fe88", "symbol": "BLRX", "name": "BioLineRx Ltd.", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 61.902, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.217, "architecture_energy": 13.091, "architecture_maturity": 27.095, "architecture_confidence": 66.564, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.59, "rotation_up": 30.0, "upward_expansion": 52.57, "deceleration": 82.13, "rotation_down": 22.95, "downward_expansion": 18.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.015133, 0.015145, 0.014957, 0.014744 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.015, "trend_reference": 0.014633, "distance_from_trend": 0.025057, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.127122, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.882003, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.487319, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": -0.0289, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.025057, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043573, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.882003, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016472, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.204873, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.181361, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.470312, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5072961, "relative_activity": 0.236457, "balance": 0.470312, "dry_up": 0.262845, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117949, "annualized_volatility": 0.519309, "from_high_reference": -0.375, "from_low_reference": 0.363636 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.014633, "fair_value_reference": 0.127122, "structural_low": 0.011, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.077143, "positive_rate": 0.133333, "directional_follow_through": 0.133333, "median_excess_return": -0.100069, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.072222, "worst_return": -0.346939, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.229433, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.309592, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.08, "worst_return": -0.433862, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.536111, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.620518, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.362974, "worst_return": -0.878307, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-01-26", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.446875, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.190476, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.770992, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.074074, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", 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0.014615 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.015, "volume": 5154976, "typical_volume": 22230166.1, "trend": 0.014633, "fair_value": 0.131705, "relative_strength": -24.519981, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.906076, "energy": 15.398924, "activity_lines": [ 0.014733, 0.015055, 0.014752, 0.014634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.016, "volume": 3292323, "typical_volume": 21748641.5, "trend": 0.014667, "fair_value": 0.129442, "relative_strength": -16.176475, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.634913, "energy": 16.898933, "activity_lines": [ 0.015133, 0.015218, 0.014905, 0.014723 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.015, "volume": 5072961, "typical_volume": 21454089.75, "trend": 0.014633, "fair_value": 0.127122, "relative_strength": -20.487319, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.216915, "energy": 13.090976, "activity_lines": [ 0.015133, 0.015145, 0.014957, 0.014744 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }