{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "89bccadc-13ba-43cd-9cd9-8034e1e65d38",
    "symbol": "CSR",
    "name": "Centerspace",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -59.171,
    "architecture_energy": 43.159,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.382,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.512,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.31,
        "rotation_up": 21.57,
        "upward_expansion": 6.02,
        "deceleration": 55.57,
        "rotation_down": 53.23,
        "downward_expansion": 79.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        55.810667,
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        58.784537,
        59.793381
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 56.68,
    "trend_reference": 60.982865,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.070559,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 58.72768,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.034867,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -16.774466,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.105993,
    "excess_performance": -0.231618,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.070559,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040781,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034867,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.17926,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.167745,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.150527,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.105993,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.667349,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1051013,
      "relative_activity": 1.437933,
      "balance": 0.667349,
      "dry_up": 1.058223,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.063632,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.277952,
      "from_high_reference": -0.174667,
      "from_low_reference": 0.110973
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 60.982865,
      "fair_value_reference": 58.72768,
      "structural_low": 53.772172,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.009455,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.416667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014907,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.097786,
        "worst_return": -0.100178,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.015578,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
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        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.187726,
        "worst_return": -0.174903,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.092246,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.223577,
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        "best_return": 0.114716,
        "worst_return": -0.37004,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-12-20",
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        "return": -0.052261,
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.050589,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "fair_value": 58.010148,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 13.229735,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 677423.85,
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        "fair_value": 58.123832,
        "relative_strength": 0.630207,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 640861.25,
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        "fair_value": 58.227313,
        "relative_strength": 1.380112,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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        "energy": 50.043903,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 596634.05,
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        "fair_value": 58.324792,
        "relative_strength": -1.721735,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "direction": 54.478511,
        "energy": 62.011068,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 600783.65,
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        "fair_value": 58.419799,
        "relative_strength": -2.648909,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.169869,
        "energy": 65.37562,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 606076.65,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 63.847861,
        "energy": 58.754924,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 579289.25,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 992100,
        "typical_volume": 601108.2,
        "trend": 63.57939,
        "fair_value": 58.636827,
        "relative_strength": -12.746872,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -17.144834,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 57.610116,
        "volume": 1265340,
        "typical_volume": 633239.0,
        "trend": 63.32539,
        "fair_value": 58.658666,
        "relative_strength": -14.066898,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 29.256568,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 660497.2,
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        "relative_strength": -18.381939,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 693127.8,
        "trend": 62.690667,
        "fair_value": 58.705139,
        "relative_strength": -14.037756,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.9578,
        "energy": 71.347934,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 656694,
        "typical_volume": 705203.6,
        "trend": 62.527405,
        "fair_value": 58.721797,
        "relative_strength": -14.026427,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.153867,
        "energy": 74.685513,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 55.57,
        "volume": 562789,
        "typical_volume": 697020.7,
        "trend": 62.249948,
        "fair_value": 58.713053,
        "relative_strength": -17.300517,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.590287,
        "energy": 75.546079,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 55.82,
        "volume": 773417,
        "typical_volume": 705483.4,
        "trend": 61.986027,
        "fair_value": 58.712979,
        "relative_strength": -15.332144,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.730499,
        "energy": 64.220355,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.032272,
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          60.223759,
          60.933886
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 55.73,
        "volume": 655245,
        "typical_volume": 715156.9,
        "trend": 61.658302,
        "fair_value": 58.72927,
        "relative_strength": -14.737492,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.767012,
        "energy": 49.050108,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.957245,
          56.785774,
          59.711304,
          60.530271
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 54.84,
        "volume": 614227,
        "typical_volume": 719882.5,
        "trend": 61.283503,
        "fair_value": 58.721231,
        "relative_strength": -16.802024,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.074765,
        "energy": 50.19153,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.530667,
          56.111387,
          59.14516,
          60.090381
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 56.68,
        "volume": 1051013,
        "typical_volume": 730919.5,
        "trend": 60.982865,
        "fair_value": 58.72768,
        "relative_strength": -16.774466,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.170948,
        "energy": 43.159417,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.810667,
          55.998611,
          58.784537,
          59.793381
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}