{ "ticker": { "uuid": "89c3ff70-0700-45b0-bc09-7b55f3be389a", "symbol": "VYT", "name": "Vytrus Biotech, S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.577, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.776, "architecture_energy": 16.406, "architecture_maturity": 31.178, "architecture_confidence": 85.36, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.51, "rotation_up": 31.39, "upward_expansion": 54.45, "deceleration": 81.04, "rotation_down": 22.84, "downward_expansion": 18.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.226667, 17.322727, 17.326667, 16.750968 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 17.6, "trend_reference": 15.366667, "distance_from_trend": 0.145336, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.055737, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.906335, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 30.266654, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.585586, "excess_performance": 0.461155, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.145336, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.238415, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.906335, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.861117, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.302667, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.672193, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.585586, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.278792, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10144, "relative_activity": 0.199127, "balance": 0.278792, "dry_up": 2.147697, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078234, "annualized_volatility": 0.537165, "from_high_reference": -0.145631, "from_low_reference": 2.352381 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.366667, "fair_value_reference": 6.055737, "structural_low": 10.1, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.265941, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.15873, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 1.876712, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.261364, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.389831, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.075529, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.022989, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 3.28, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 3.28, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": 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"up", "direction": 29.776046, "energy": 16.406127, "activity_lines": [ 17.226667, 17.322727, 17.326667, 16.750968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }