{ "ticker": { "uuid": "89cda401-0a28-43ff-983a-45f104434f44", "symbol": "SNES", "name": "SenesTech Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.253, "architecture_energy": 53.166, "architecture_maturity": 91.948, "architecture_confidence": 89.039, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.43, "rotation_up": 14.74, "upward_expansion": 8.83, "deceleration": 43.45, "rotation_down": 68.38, "downward_expansion": 86.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.350667, 1.419273, 1.511952, 1.594817 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 1.29, "trend_reference": 1.7185, "distance_from_trend": -0.249345, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.427453, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.846929, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -56.053099, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.31016, "excess_performance": -0.497614, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.249345, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.183158, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.846929, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063444, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.560531, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010477, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.31016, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.192433, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2323770, "relative_activity": 5.75442, "balance": 0.192433, "dry_up": 1.883608, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.201831, "annualized_volatility": 0.49387, "from_high_reference": -0.758662, "from_low_reference": 0.121739 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.7185, "fair_value_reference": 8.427453, "structural_low": 1.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 53, "median_return": -0.098039, "positive_rate": 0.283019, "directional_follow_through": 0.716981, "median_excess_return": -0.120563, "regime_survival": 0.924528, "best_return": 0.818182, "worst_return": -0.769392, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.26936, "positive_rate": 0.176471, "directional_follow_through": 0.823529, "median_excess_return": -0.306873, "regime_survival": 0.882353, "best_return": 1.981928, "worst_return": -0.790054, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.414853, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": -0.510442, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 1.313253, "worst_return": -0.93099, "sufficient": true }, { 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"gate": "down", "direction": -62.14253, "energy": 53.778848, "activity_lines": [ 1.465333, 1.536, 1.590786, 1.679129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.39, "volume": 308715, "typical_volume": 326128.95, "trend": 1.778167, "fair_value": 9.648992, "relative_strength": -53.064819, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.941184, "energy": 55.576197, "activity_lines": [ 1.426, 1.5, 1.565571, 1.652086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.35, "volume": 143204, "typical_volume": 306887.1, "trend": 1.7495, "fair_value": 9.003799, "relative_strength": -53.090756, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.279538, "energy": 55.763, "activity_lines": [ 1.390667, 1.460909, 1.540262, 1.624462 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.29, "volume": 2323770, "typical_volume": 403823.5, "trend": 1.7185, "fair_value": 8.427453, "relative_strength": -56.053099, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.253423, "energy": 53.165827, "activity_lines": [ 1.350667, 1.419273, 1.511952, 1.594817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }