{ "ticker": { "uuid": "89d421d6-608d-4293-89ca-ccf1e148a421", "symbol": "603665", "name": "ZheJiang KangLongDa Special Protection Technology Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.651, "architecture_energy": 79.793, "architecture_maturity": 40.656, "architecture_confidence": 86.773, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.24, "rotation_up": 9.09, "upward_expansion": 18.89, "deceleration": 37.12, "rotation_down": 77.64, "downward_expansion": 94.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.537334, 24.188909, 25.886098, 27.225609 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 22.450001, "trend_reference": 29.277381, "distance_from_trend": -0.233196, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.142909, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.02994, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.727175, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.385387, "excess_performance": -0.342183, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.233196, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057014, "read": "Falling" 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"structural_low": 19.309999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.018895, "positive_rate": 0.448276, "directional_follow_through": 0.551724, "median_excess_return": -0.013996, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.779387, "worst_return": -0.193308, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.032891, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.056057, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.811881, "worst_return": -0.365989, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.108961, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.079562, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.799152, "worst_return": -0.294513, "sufficient": 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29.165248 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.969999, "volume": 11770326, "typical_volume": 12664460.0, "trend": 30.214121, "fair_value": 23.236098, "relative_strength": -9.824771, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.257223, "energy": 43.497563, "activity_lines": [ 26.402, 26.838321, 27.66067, 28.814403 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.41, "volume": 23280988, "typical_volume": 13035991.5, "trend": 29.925025, "fair_value": 23.197269, "relative_strength": -23.421284, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.223457, "energy": 64.975832, "activity_lines": [ 24.584666, 25.73988, 26.986509, 28.246396 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.24, "volume": 14612065, "typical_volume": 13069284.75, "trend": 29.587169, "fair_value": 23.164489, "relative_strength": -24.146675, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.077419, "energy": 80.894364, "activity_lines": [ 23.190666, 24.772197, 26.353273, 27.686071 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.450001, "volume": 8285478, "typical_volume": 12771272.3, "trend": 29.277381, "fair_value": 23.142909, "relative_strength": -21.727175, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.651142, "energy": 79.793175, "activity_lines": [ 22.537334, 24.188909, 25.886098, 27.225609 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }