{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "89e24a3d-4efc-4d9d-be7d-bf57b262d7f1",
    "symbol": "QVML",
    "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR II S&P 500 QVM MULTI FACTOR ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.181,
    "architecture_energy": 62.925,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.075,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.736,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.33,
        "rotation_up": 59.69,
        "upward_expansion": 82.98,
        "deceleration": 57.86,
        "rotation_down": 25.09,
        "downward_expansion": 9.65
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        44.766847,
        44.420369,
        43.914236,
        43.003785
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 45.8683,
    "trend_reference": 41.967876,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.092938,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 34.375815,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.334319,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.385381,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.130021,
    "excess_performance": 0.004396,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092938,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035804,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.334319,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009087,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003854,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005345,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130021,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 6.414559,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 99187,
      "relative_activity": 2.37004,
      "balance": 6.414559,
      "dry_up": 2.153094,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021732,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.137272,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006319,
      "from_low_reference": 0.234044
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 41.967876,
      "fair_value_reference": 34.375815,
      "structural_low": 37.2439,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.015864,
        "positive_rate": 0.705882,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.705882,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000188,
        "regime_survival": 0.823529,
        "best_return": 0.066172,
        "worst_return": -0.12201,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.846154,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000717,
        "regime_survival": 0.769231,
        "best_return": 0.127569,
        "worst_return": -0.03556,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.06299,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.156619,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": 0.056547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 33205.65,
        "trend": 41.536748,
        "fair_value": 34.004557,
        "relative_strength": 0.328044,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 60.442139,
        "energy": 52.942279,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 43.8698,
        "volume": 16300,
        "typical_volume": 28130.3,
        "trend": 41.648861,
        "fair_value": 34.119985,
        "relative_strength": 0.489482,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 60.27506,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.4409,
        "volume": 224387,
        "typical_volume": 37308.35,
        "trend": 41.795817,
        "fair_value": 34.243143,
        "relative_strength": 0.680584,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.713335,
        "energy": 52.718929,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.21304,
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          43.603554,
          42.741044
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 45.8683,
        "volume": 99187,
        "typical_volume": 41850.35,
        "trend": 41.967876,
        "fair_value": 34.375815,
        "relative_strength": 0.385381,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.181044,
        "energy": 62.924649,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}