{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "89e3b26f-8994-4974-a7b8-042064c5fa3a",
    "symbol": "PRU",
    "name": "Prudential Financial, Inc.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.463,
    "architecture_energy": 88.162,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.003,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.884,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.98,
        "rotation_up": 80.37,
        "upward_expansion": 97.46,
        "deceleration": 41.9,
        "rotation_down": 9.09,
        "downward_expansion": 21.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        105.01,
        102.071637,
        96.208349,
        92.604418
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 105.0,
    "trend_reference": 89.358825,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.175038,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 90.299325,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.162799,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.960552,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.253475,
    "excess_performance": 0.079229,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.175038,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025216,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.162799,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.208209,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039606,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14015,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.253475,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 42.04,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 42.04,
      "dry_up": 0.347063,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031689,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.186333,
      "from_high_reference": -0.038902,
      "from_low_reference": 0.337251
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 89.358825,
      "fair_value_reference": 90.299325,
      "structural_low": 78.519288,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": 0.007661,
        "positive_rate": 0.611111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.611111,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008059,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.089268,
        "worst_return": -0.08927,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.030183,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010212,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.11058,
        "worst_return": -0.089417,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.003856,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.139855,
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        "worst_return": -0.227845,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.000662,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.200029,
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        "best_return": 0.225425,
        "worst_return": -0.224101,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "return": -0.010258,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.072049,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.043213,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.048998,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "typical_volume": 19.5,
        "trend": 86.828643,
        "fair_value": 87.839705,
        "relative_strength": -19.182166,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.909614,
        "energy": 28.55654,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.993724,
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          83.481264,
          85.463989
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 83.992798,
        "volume": 121,
        "typical_volume": 25.55,
        "trend": 86.857948,
        "fair_value": 87.988305,
        "relative_strength": -17.975564,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.115227,
        "energy": 23.742336,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.573889,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 85.705734,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 25.55,
        "trend": 86.975537,
        "fair_value": 88.132605,
        "relative_strength": -15.457909,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.081451,
        "energy": 17.573989,
        "activity_lines": [
          83.676466,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 88.599998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 25.55,
        "trend": 87.118956,
        "fair_value": 88.295621,
        "relative_strength": -13.974476,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 8.268011,
        "energy": 17.756975,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.447153,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 25,
        "typical_volume": 26.8,
        "trend": 87.161004,
        "fair_value": 88.434363,
        "relative_strength": -17.107471,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 2.227034,
        "energy": 22.580458,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.507135,
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          83.794829,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 90.660004,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 26.8,
        "trend": 87.297353,
        "fair_value": 88.589181,
        "relative_strength": -12.471317,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.709006,
        "energy": 48.410484,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.225619,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 93.32,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 26.55,
        "trend": 87.473362,
        "fair_value": 88.756052,
        "relative_strength": -11.964945,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 46.776739,
        "energy": 68.287013,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.253717,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 92.800003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 26.55,
        "trend": 87.586501,
        "fair_value": 88.929803,
        "relative_strength": -15.523092,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.409628,
        "energy": 69.725549,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.486668,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 95.559998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 13.0,
        "trend": 87.742552,
        "fair_value": 89.103862,
        "relative_strength": -10.892671,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 57.241717,
        "energy": 79.743093,
        "activity_lines": [
          93.166667,
          90.491042,
          87.092336,
          86.790391
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 98.720001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 13.0,
        "trend": 87.945159,
        "fair_value": 89.290029,
        "relative_strength": -9.695127,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 62.375511,
        "energy": 85.446076,
        "activity_lines": [
          95.436001,
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          88.379316,
          87.498614
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 100.550003,
        "volume": 960,
        "typical_volume": 61.0,
        "trend": 88.082169,
        "fair_value": 89.493794,
        "relative_strength": -6.501052,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.091725,
        "energy": 94.659655,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.548668,
          94.388442,
          89.778329,
          88.311829
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 104.550003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 61.0,
        "trend": 88.380932,
        "fair_value": 89.700383,
        "relative_strength": -0.703252,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.725712,
        "energy": 96.895787,
        "activity_lines": [
          100.335335,
          96.722469,
          91.486013,
          89.37427
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 104.900002,
        "volume": 58,
        "typical_volume": 63.9,
        "trend": 88.735929,
        "fair_value": 89.897157,
        "relative_strength": -1.538791,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.785764,
        "energy": 95.146301,
        "activity_lines": [
          102.490002,
          98.746365,
          93.123233,
          90.440017
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 106.449997,
        "volume": 33,
        "typical_volume": 65.55,
        "trend": 89.165845,
        "fair_value": 90.097999,
        "relative_strength": 0.097636,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.644971,
        "energy": 94.350733,
        "activity_lines": [
          104.354667,
          100.703092,
          94.79773,
          91.58286
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 105.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 65.55,
        "trend": 89.358825,
        "fair_value": 90.299325,
        "relative_strength": -3.960552,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.463354,
        "energy": 88.16202,
        "activity_lines": [
          105.01,
          102.071637,
          96.208349,
          92.604418
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}