{ "ticker": { "uuid": "89f6f0bf-45a6-440d-ab29-0103442d327d", "symbol": "300584", "name": "Nanjing Hicin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.19, "architecture_energy": 41.608, "architecture_maturity": 64.215, "architecture_confidence": 92.972, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.88, "rotation_up": 19.38, "upward_expansion": 4.83, "deceleration": 53.21, "rotation_down": 55.84, "downward_expansion": 78.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.165333, 33.954167, 35.574502, 37.571967 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 35.98, "trend_reference": 40.691031, "distance_from_trend": -0.115776, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.455867, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.181382, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.622287, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.199377, "excess_performance": -0.206777, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.115776, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.146748, "read": "Falling" 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27.68, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.031952, "positive_rate": 0.580645, "directional_follow_through": 0.419355, "median_excess_return": 0.048714, "regime_survival": 0.83871, "best_return": 0.830297, "worst_return": -0.192537, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.176861, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": 0.166872, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 3.149708, "worst_return": -0.242752, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.581764, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.635131, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 3.244019, "worst_return": -0.016884, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 29.786156, "activity_lines": [ 36.10791, 35.756991, 38.006949, 40.038857 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 31.34, "volume": 29625865, "typical_volume": 19067911.55, "trend": 42.446032, "fair_value": 30.257673, "relative_strength": -34.993394, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.444514, "energy": 47.626338, "activity_lines": [ 34.599871, 34.844241, 37.191135, 39.283242 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.309999, "volume": 32536380, "typical_volume": 19999645.2, "trend": 41.843032, "fair_value": 30.312799, "relative_strength": -35.034437, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.212629, "energy": 48.22711, "activity_lines": [ 33.064667, 34.12521, 36.436463, 38.564789 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.639999, "volume": 26595737, "typical_volume": 20178265.45, "trend": 41.165698, "fair_value": 30.371442, "relative_strength": -33.148755, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.49653, "energy": 54.830578, "activity_lines": [ 32.278666, 33.596798, 35.767364, 37.906529 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.98, "volume": 22851494, "typical_volume": 20384830.15, "trend": 40.691031, "fair_value": 30.455867, "relative_strength": -27.622287, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.189628, "energy": 41.608363, "activity_lines": [ 33.165333, 33.954167, 35.574502, 37.571967 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }