{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8a005564-b5ce-448a-864e-b7150f40eb69", "symbol": "B73", "name": "Global Investments Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.068, "architecture_energy": 70.403, "architecture_maturity": 9.793, "architecture_confidence": 67.705, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.75, "rotation_up": 73.67, "upward_expansion": 90.66, "deceleration": 42.52, "rotation_down": 10.76, "downward_expansion": 14.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.1274, 0.126782, 0.126254, 0.125826 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.128, "trend_reference": 0.125194, "distance_from_trend": 0.02241, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.111652, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.14642, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.237978, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.039873, "excess_performance": -0.114963, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.02241, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00391, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.14642, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007906, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.14238, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067988, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.039873, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.368101, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 660600, "relative_activity": 1.085799, "balance": 3.368101, "dry_up": 1.342086, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010817, "annualized_volatility": 0.056261, "from_high_reference": -0.007044, "from_low_reference": 0.055496 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.125194, "fair_value_reference": 0.111652, "structural_low": 0.122123, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.481481, "directional_follow_through": 0.481481, "median_excess_return": -0.013778, "regime_survival": 0.740741, "best_return": 0.049176, "worst_return": -0.065352, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.00775, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.033442, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.074289, "worst_return": -0.169934, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.032722, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.024378, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.098977, "worst_return": -0.150328, 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"activity_lines": [ 0.126, 0.125818, 0.125648, 0.125301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.127, "volume": 904800, "typical_volume": 657670.0, "trend": 0.124932, "fair_value": 0.111242, "relative_strength": -14.026649, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.240218, "energy": 52.298986, "activity_lines": [ 0.126333, 0.126055, 0.125804, 0.125439 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.128, "volume": 1036100, "typical_volume": 627045.0, "trend": 0.125063, "fair_value": 0.11146, "relative_strength": -13.562141, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.07205, "energy": 65.785786, "activity_lines": [ 0.126933, 0.126436, 0.126036, 0.125637 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.128, "volume": 660600, "typical_volume": 608400.0, "trend": 0.125194, "fair_value": 0.111652, "relative_strength": -14.237978, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.068474, "energy": 70.402581, "activity_lines": [ 0.1274, 0.126782, 0.126254, 0.125826 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }