{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8a16ed65-8c1e-4841-b78d-c59e86fec6cd",
    "symbol": "QQL3",
    "name": "Leverage Shares 3x Long US Tech 100 ETP Securities",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 95.806,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 16.841,
    "architecture_energy": 25.651,
    "architecture_maturity": 77.81,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.03,
        "rotation_up": 20.78,
        "upward_expansion": 49.02,
        "deceleration": 85.15,
        "rotation_down": 42.15,
        "downward_expansion": 29.35
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        40.527619,
        38.080322
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 41.599998,
    "trend_reference": 35.101667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.185129,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.827081,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.745912,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 17.429391,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.472566,
    "excess_performance": 0.421331,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.185129,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.115755,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.745912,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.237807,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174294,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.25039,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.472566,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.854111,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 144,
      "relative_activity": 0.411135,
      "balance": 2.854111,
      "dry_up": 0.830835,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.087004,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.573073,
      "from_high_reference": -0.138716,
      "from_low_reference": 0.934884
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 23.827081,
      "structural_low": 21.5,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.017799,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002347,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.222449,
        "worst_return": -0.108348,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.090615,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.420371,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.399104,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "worst_return": -0.077947,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 47.150002,
        "volume": 1367,
        "typical_volume": 645.8,
        "trend": 31.46,
        "fair_value": 22.005318,
        "relative_strength": 50.014013,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.105415,
        "energy": 95.989138,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.186667,
          39.857273,
          34.600953,
          33.032258
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 44.099998,
        "volume": 89,
        "typical_volume": 645.6,
        "trend": 31.961667,
        "fair_value": 22.215671,
        "relative_strength": 39.297437,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.396942,
        "energy": 87.250322,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.656666,
          41.396364,
          35.749524,
          33.847742
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 43.799999,
        "volume": 22,
        "typical_volume": 561.95,
        "trend": 32.401667,
        "fair_value": 22.414854,
        "relative_strength": 35.523028,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.89397,
        "energy": 73.952058,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.546666,
          42.488182,
          36.807381,
          34.611505
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 46.450001,
        "volume": 53,
        "typical_volume": 562.45,
        "trend": 33.06,
        "fair_value": 22.635543,
        "relative_strength": 43.39505,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.051183,
        "energy": 70.292394,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.223333,
          43.71,
          38.057619,
          35.517849
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 41.349998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 552.15,
        "trend": 33.408333,
        "fair_value": 22.819741,
        "relative_strength": 24.973423,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.989318,
        "energy": 61.124613,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.953333,
          43.66909,
          38.749524,
          36.052688
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 42.599998,
        "volume": 5,
        "typical_volume": 548.7,
        "trend": 33.758333,
        "fair_value": 23.013075,
        "relative_strength": 25.762896,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.736237,
        "energy": 52.861204,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.296665,
          43.704545,
          39.498095,
          36.645699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 42.799999,
        "volume": 298,
        "typical_volume": 563.5,
        "trend": 34.176667,
        "fair_value": 23.198748,
        "relative_strength": 27.51108,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.533443,
        "energy": 46.522442,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.009999,
          43.636363,
          40.195238,
          37.229032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 37.650002,
        "volume": 653,
        "typical_volume": 596.05,
        "trend": 34.416667,
        "fair_value": 23.354181,
        "relative_strength": 10.593506,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.667405,
        "energy": 30.150546,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.093333,
          42.524545,
          40.332143,
          37.453118
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 36.75,
        "volume": 145,
        "typical_volume": 433.5,
        "trend": 34.593333,
        "fair_value": 23.500398,
        "relative_strength": 6.223915,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.498266,
        "energy": 26.598248,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.286667,
          41.334545,
          40.337857,
          37.603656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 35.150002,
        "volume": 222,
        "typical_volume": 442.15,
        "trend": 34.768333,
        "fair_value": 23.641825,
        "relative_strength": 0.041596,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -8.143788,
        "energy": 24.460814,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.593334,
          39.962727,
          40.147143,
          37.63957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.599998,
        "volume": 144,
        "typical_volume": 350.25,
        "trend": 35.101667,
        "fair_value": 23.827081,
        "relative_strength": 17.429391,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.841131,
        "energy": 25.651185,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.463333,
          39.93,
          40.527619,
          38.080322
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}